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日前，國網天(tian)津(jin)(jin)市電(dian)(dian)力公司(si)提出的(de)“以電(dian)(dian)供熱”試點規(gui)劃，被寫入天(tian)津(jin)(jin)市政(zheng)(zheng)府(fu)工(gong)作(zuo)報告(gao)，預示(shi)著(zhu)天(tian)津(jin)(jin)市加熱電(dian)(dian)纜(lan)的(de)需(xu)求量將不斷提高。“推(tui)(tui)廣電(dian)(dian)能替代工(gong)程，啟動(dong)以電(dian)(dian)供熱試點”被寫入天(tian)津(jin)(jin)市政(zheng)(zheng)府(fu)工(gong)作(zuo)報告(gao)，這(zhe)標(biao)志著(zhu)天(tian)津(jin)(jin)電(dian)(dian)能替代工(gong)作(zuo)已進入政(zheng)(zheng)府(fu)主導(dao)、系統推(tui)(tui)進的(de)新(xin)階段。

當前電能(neng)替(ti)(ti)代技(ji)術成熟(shu)，經(jing)濟優勢明顯，清(qing)潔環保已成為政府和廣大用(yong)(yong)戶的共(gong)識。一(yi)直(zhi)以來，北方(fang)地區冬季供(gong)熱(re)取暖主(zhu)要是采用(yong)(yong)燃(ran)煤鍋爐，造成嚴重大氣污染。如果采取電能(neng)替(ti)(ti)代，以電能(neng)或太陽能(neng)代替(ti)(ti)燃(ran)煤蒸汽(qi)供(gong)熱(re)，不但供(gong)熱(re)成本大幅(fu)度降低，而且不會造成環境污染。

在有些專家看來，電能(neng)作(zuo)為清潔能(neng)源的優(you)勢凸顯，替代(dai)潛力巨(ju)大。4月2日，國(guo)家電網(wang)(wang)公(gong)司召開了(le)2015年(nian)電能(neng)替代(dai)工(gong)作(zuo)推進(jin)會，發布了(le)《國(guo)家電網(wang)(wang)公(gong)司2015年(nian)全面深(shen)入推進(jin)電能(neng)替代(dai)行動(dong)計劃》，提出了(le)確保全年(nian)完成650億(yi)千瓦時、力爭(zheng)實現750億(yi)千瓦時替代(dai)電量(liang)。

據(ju)了解，今年(nian)國家(jia)電(dian)(dian)(dian)網公司將著力(li)(li)鞏固(gu)擴大電(dian)(dian)(dian)窯爐(lu)、電(dian)(dian)(dian)鍋爐(lu)、熱泵等(deng)(deng)成熟(shu)項目的實施范圍，因地(di)制宜拓展新(xin)(xin)領域(yu)、推(tui)廣(guang)(guang)新(xin)(xin)技術(shu)，除(chu)在(zai)港口地(di)區推(tui)廣(guang)(guang)岸電(dian)(dian)(dian)替(ti)代(通(tong)過(guo)電(dian)(dian)(dian)纜將船舶(bo)用(yong)電(dian)(dian)(dian)與(yu)岸上(shang)電(dian)(dian)(dian)源(yuan)連接，在(zai)船舶(bo)靠岸期間采用(yong)陸地(di)電(dian)(dian)(dian)源(yuan)供電(dian)(dian)(dian))外，還將對居民區、學校等(deng)(deng)用(yong)戶(hu)推(tui)廣(guang)(guang)碳晶、電(dian)(dian)(dian)熱膜、發熱電(dian)(dian)(dian)纜等(deng)(deng)技術(shu)，在(zai)企(qi)事業(ye)單位食堂推(tui)廣(guang)(guang)電(dian)(dian)(dian)磁(ci)灶、電(dian)(dian)(dian)蒸鍋，在(zai)油田推(tui)廣(guang)(guang)電(dian)(dian)(dian)動鉆機，在(zai)油氣(qi)輸(shu)送管線推(tui)廣(guang)(guang)電(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)加(jia)壓等(deng)(deng)。

從消費端來(lai)看，各地主要通過以(yi)電(dian)(dian)代煤(mei)(mei)、以(yi)電(dian)(dian)代油來(lai)促進節能減排。北京市城六(liu)區(qu)基(ji)本取消燃煤(mei)(mei)鍋爐，農村(cun)地區(qu)新增減煤(mei)(mei)換(huan)煤(mei)(mei)120萬噸。河北省(sheng)提出大(da)幅壓減煤(mei)(mei)炭(tan)用量，實施煤(mei)(mei)電(dian)(dian)節能減排升級改(gai)造(zao)行動計劃。在歐(ou)美發達(da)國(guo)家，電(dian)(dian)采(cai)暖普(pu)及率非(fei)常(chang)高，美國(guo)80%的城市實行電(dian)(dian)采(cai)暖，加拿大(da)、德國(guo)、法國(guo)等電(dian)(dian)采(cai)暖比例均在50%以(yi)上。

有(you)(you)專家分(fen)析認為，國內大(da)力開展電(dian)(dian)能(neng)(neng)替(ti)代，能(neng)(neng)有(you)(you)效緩解電(dian)(dian)纜產(chan)業產(chan)能(neng)(neng)過(guo)剩(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)帶(dai)來的(de)(de)巨(ju)大(da)壓力。國內電(dian)(dian)線(xian)電(dian)(dian)纜行業產(chan)能(neng)(neng)過(guo)剩(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)以(yi)及(ji)設備過(guo)剩(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)是(shi)不(bu)爭的(de)(de)事(shi)實，產(chan)能(neng)(neng)過(guo)剩(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)意味著供大(da)于(yu)(yu)求，意味著惡性競爭;而設備過(guo)剩(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)又反映出開工率(lv)不(bu)足。事(shi)實上(shang)，僅次(ci)于(yu)(yu)汽車制(zhi)造業的(de)(de)第二大(da)產(chan)業電(dian)(dian)線(xian)電(dian)(dian)纜行業在贏得“全球第一”之(zhi)后，卻因(yin)蜂擁而上(shang)深陷“紅海”的(de)(de)產(chan)能(neng)(neng)嚴重過(guo)剩(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)之(zhi)中。不(bu)足四成(cheng)的(de)(de)產(chan)能(neng)(neng)開工率(lv)還不(bu)到歐美同期一半，連續萎靡的(de)(de)虧損包(bao)袱成(cheng)為不(bu)少上(shang)市公司不(bu)能(neng)(neng)承受(shou)之(zhi)重，欲剝(bo)離減負(fu)。

近來(lai)研發成(cheng)功(gong)的碳(tan)纖維加熱(re)(re)(re)電(dian)纜，將加熱(re)(re)(re)電(dian)纜系統的應用推向了技術創新階段(duan)。推行“以電(dian)供熱(re)(re)(re)”的應用，廣泛涉(she)及千家萬(wan)戶。例如在(zai)住宅(zhai)內(nei)部，可實現墻壁(bi)、地(di)板、空間加熱(re)(re)(re)。其中(zhong)，僅墻壁(bi)和地(di)板加熱(re)(re)(re)系統，就需要大量加熱(re)(re)(re)電(dian)纜。此外(wai)，根據(ju)外(wai)國(guo)經驗，道路和機場融雪(xue)加熱(re)(re)(re)，也(ye)普遍首選加熱(re)(re)(re)電(dian)纜系統。

電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)采暖(nuan)相(xiang)比(bi)燃煤采暖(nuan)優勢比(bi)較(jiao)明顯。當前，國內電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)(li)供(gong)需矛盾將日趨緩(huan)和，2006年中(zhong)國電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)(li)供(gong)需基本平衡(heng)。從2007年開始，一(yi)部分(fen)煤炭產地為(wei)降低煤炭運(yun)輸成(cheng)本，大力(li)(li)(li)發(fa)展火力(li)(li)(li)發(fa)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)，變(bian)煤炭運(yun)輸為(wei)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)(li)輸送，并且國家正在(zai)大力(li)(li)(li)發(fa)展風力(li)(li)(li)發(fa)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)、太陽能發(fa)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)、水力(li)(li)(li)發(fa)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)、核電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)等，電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)(li)已出現(xian)冬季過剩(sheng)現(xian)象(xiang)，這就為(wei)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)采暖(nuan)提供(gong)了足夠(gou)空(kong)間。

據(ju)相關統計(ji)數字表明，我國地面輻射采(cai)暖市(shi)場(chang)在2010年底已達千億元，其中技術(shu)成(cheng)熟的低溫(wen)熱(re)水(shui)輻射采(cai)暖和散熱(re)片采(cai)暖占據(ju)70%以上(shang)的市(shi)場(chang)份額。電采(cai)暖雖處(chu)于起步階段(duan)，但也占據(ju)了(le)25%左右的市(shi)場(chang)份額，并且保持持續上(shang)升的趨(qu)勢。

如今(jin)，全國各(ge)地針(zhen)對(dui)電(dian)(dian)采(cai)暖(nuan)紛(fen)紛(fen)出臺優惠政(zheng)策，這從側面(mian)展(zhan)現(xian)出了(le)(le)電(dian)(dian)采(cai)暖(nuan)的(de)(de)巨大(da)潛力，也(ye)為(wei)碳纖維發熱(re)電(dian)(dian)纜的(de)(de)發展(zhan)提供(gong)(gong)(gong)了(le)(le)無限的(de)(de)可(ke)能(neng)性。就目前各(ge)個(ge)集中供(gong)(gong)(gong)暖(nuan)區域推(tui)出的(de)(de)供(gong)(gong)(gong)暖(nuan)政(zheng)策來看(kan)，煤(mei)炭供(gong)(gong)(gong)熱(re)的(de)(de)時代正(zheng)在(zai)成為(wei)歷史。而(er)新型(xing)的(de)(de)環保節(jie)能(neng)的(de)(de)采(cai)暖(nuan)方式(shi)正(zheng)在(zai)占領(ling)市場(chang)，其(qi)中電(dian)(dian)采(cai)暖(nuan)以其(qi)成熟的(de)(de)行業體系和卓越的(de)(de)供(gong)(gong)(gong)暖(nuan)效果(guo)正(zheng)在(zai)不斷受到重視。這為(wei)正(zheng)處于產能(neng)過剩的(de)(de)電(dian)(dian)纜產業開辟了(le)(le)一(yi)個(ge)新的(de)(de)市場(chang)。