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日前，國網天(tian)(tian)津市電(dian)(dian)力公司提出的“以電(dian)(dian)供(gong)熱(re)(re)”試點(dian)規(gui)劃，被(bei)寫(xie)入天(tian)(tian)津市政(zheng)府(fu)工(gong)(gong)作(zuo)報告，預示著天(tian)(tian)津市加(jia)熱(re)(re)電(dian)(dian)纜(lan)的需求量將不斷提高。“推(tui)廣電(dian)(dian)能替代工(gong)(gong)程，啟動以電(dian)(dian)供(gong)熱(re)(re)試點(dian)”被(bei)寫(xie)入天(tian)(tian)津市政(zheng)府(fu)工(gong)(gong)作(zuo)報告，這標志著天(tian)(tian)津電(dian)(dian)能替代工(gong)(gong)作(zuo)已進(jin)入政(zheng)府(fu)主(zhu)導、系統推(tui)進(jin)的新階段(duan)。

當前(qian)電(dian)能(neng)替(ti)代(dai)技術(shu)成(cheng)(cheng)熟(shu)，經(jing)濟優勢明(ming)顯，清潔(jie)環(huan)保已成(cheng)(cheng)為(wei)政(zheng)府和(he)廣大用戶的共識。一直以來，北方地區冬季供(gong)(gong)熱取暖主要是采用燃(ran)煤(mei)鍋爐，造成(cheng)(cheng)嚴重(zhong)大氣(qi)污(wu)染。如果采取電(dian)能(neng)替(ti)代(dai)，以電(dian)能(neng)或太陽(yang)能(neng)代(dai)替(ti)燃(ran)煤(mei)蒸汽(qi)供(gong)(gong)熱，不但供(gong)(gong)熱成(cheng)(cheng)本(ben)大幅度降低，而且(qie)不會(hui)造成(cheng)(cheng)環(huan)境污(wu)染。

在(zai)有些專家看來，電(dian)能(neng)作(zuo)為清潔能(neng)源(yuan)的優勢(shi)凸顯(xian)，替(ti)代(dai)潛力(li)(li)巨大。4月2日，國家電(dian)網(wang)公(gong)司(si)召開了2015年電(dian)能(neng)替(ti)代(dai)工作(zuo)推(tui)進會，發布了《國家電(dian)網(wang)公(gong)司(si)2015年全面深入推(tui)進電(dian)能(neng)替(ti)代(dai)行動計劃》，提出了確保全年完成650億千(qian)瓦時、力(li)(li)爭實現(xian)750億千(qian)瓦時替(ti)代(dai)電(dian)量。

據了解，今年國家電(dian)(dian)(dian)網公司(si)將(jiang)著力(li)鞏固擴大電(dian)(dian)(dian)窯爐、電(dian)(dian)(dian)鍋(guo)爐、熱泵(beng)等成熟(shu)項目的實施(shi)范(fan)圍，因地(di)(di)制宜拓展新(xin)領域、推(tui)廣新(xin)技(ji)術(shu)，除(chu)在港口地(di)(di)區推(tui)廣岸(an)電(dian)(dian)(dian)替(ti)代(通過電(dian)(dian)(dian)纜將(jiang)船舶用電(dian)(dian)(dian)與岸(an)上電(dian)(dian)(dian)源連(lian)接，在船舶靠岸(an)期間采用陸地(di)(di)電(dian)(dian)(dian)源供電(dian)(dian)(dian))外，還(huan)將(jiang)對(dui)居民區、學校等用戶推(tui)廣碳晶、電(dian)(dian)(dian)熱膜、發熱電(dian)(dian)(dian)纜等技(ji)術(shu)，在企(qi)事業單位(wei)食堂推(tui)廣電(dian)(dian)(dian)磁灶、電(dian)(dian)(dian)蒸鍋(guo)，在油(you)田推(tui)廣電(dian)(dian)(dian)動鉆機(ji)，在油(you)氣(qi)輸(shu)送管(guan)線(xian)推(tui)廣電(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)加壓等。

從消費端來看，各地(di)主(zhu)要(yao)通(tong)過(guo)以(yi)電(dian)代煤、以(yi)電(dian)代油來促進節(jie)能減排(pai)。北京(jing)市城(cheng)六區(qu)基本取消燃煤鍋爐，農村地(di)區(qu)新增減煤換(huan)煤120萬噸(dun)。河(he)北省提出大(da)幅壓減煤炭用量，實(shi)施煤電(dian)節(jie)能減排(pai)升級(ji)改造行動計劃。在(zai)歐美(mei)發達國家，電(dian)采暖普及(ji)率(lv)非常高，美(mei)國80%的城(cheng)市實(shi)行電(dian)采暖，加拿大(da)、德國、法國等電(dian)采暖比例均在(zai)50%以(yi)上。

有專家(jia)分析認為，國內大(da)(da)力(li)開展電(dian)能(neng)(neng)替代，能(neng)(neng)有效(xiao)緩(huan)解電(dian)纜產(chan)(chan)業產(chan)(chan)能(neng)(neng)過剩(sheng)(sheng)帶來的(de)(de)(de)巨(ju)大(da)(da)壓力(li)。國內電(dian)線(xian)電(dian)纜行業產(chan)(chan)能(neng)(neng)過剩(sheng)(sheng)以及(ji)設備過剩(sheng)(sheng)是不(bu)爭的(de)(de)(de)事實(shi)，產(chan)(chan)能(neng)(neng)過剩(sheng)(sheng)意(yi)味著(zhu)供大(da)(da)于求(qiu)，意(yi)味著(zhu)惡性競(jing)爭;而設備過剩(sheng)(sheng)又反映出(chu)開工(gong)率(lv)不(bu)足。事實(shi)上(shang)，僅次于汽(qi)車制造業的(de)(de)(de)第(di)二(er)大(da)(da)產(chan)(chan)業電(dian)線(xian)電(dian)纜行業在贏得“全球(qiu)第(di)一”之(zhi)后，卻因(yin)蜂擁而上(shang)深陷“紅海(hai)”的(de)(de)(de)產(chan)(chan)能(neng)(neng)嚴(yan)重過剩(sheng)(sheng)之(zhi)中。不(bu)足四成的(de)(de)(de)產(chan)(chan)能(neng)(neng)開工(gong)率(lv)還(huan)不(bu)到(dao)歐美同期一半，連續萎靡的(de)(de)(de)虧損包袱(fu)成為不(bu)少上(shang)市(shi)公(gong)司不(bu)能(neng)(neng)承受之(zhi)重，欲剝離減負。

近來研發成功的(de)碳纖(xian)維加(jia)(jia)熱(re)(re)(re)電(dian)纜(lan)(lan)，將(jiang)加(jia)(jia)熱(re)(re)(re)電(dian)纜(lan)(lan)系(xi)統的(de)應(ying)用(yong)推向了技術(shu)創新階段。推行“以電(dian)供熱(re)(re)(re)”的(de)應(ying)用(yong)，廣泛涉及千家萬戶。例如(ru)在住宅內部，可實現墻(qiang)壁、地板、空間加(jia)(jia)熱(re)(re)(re)。其中，僅墻(qiang)壁和地板加(jia)(jia)熱(re)(re)(re)系(xi)統，就需要大(da)量加(jia)(jia)熱(re)(re)(re)電(dian)纜(lan)(lan)。此外，根(gen)據外國經驗，道路和機場融雪加(jia)(jia)熱(re)(re)(re)，也普遍(bian)首選加(jia)(jia)熱(re)(re)(re)電(dian)纜(lan)(lan)系(xi)統。

電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)采(cai)暖(nuan)相比燃煤采(cai)暖(nuan)優(you)勢(shi)比較明(ming)顯。當前(qian)，國(guo)內(nei)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)供需矛盾將日趨(qu)緩和，2006年(nian)中(zhong)國(guo)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)供需基本平衡。從2007年(nian)開始，一部(bu)分煤炭產地為(wei)降(jiang)低煤炭運輸成(cheng)本，大(da)(da)力(li)發(fa)(fa)展火力(li)發(fa)(fa)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)，變(bian)煤炭運輸為(wei)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)輸送(song)，并(bing)且國(guo)家(jia)正在(zai)大(da)(da)力(li)發(fa)(fa)展風力(li)發(fa)(fa)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)、太(tai)陽(yang)能(neng)發(fa)(fa)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)、水力(li)發(fa)(fa)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)、核(he)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)等，電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)已出現冬季過(guo)剩(sheng)現象，這就為(wei)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)采(cai)暖(nuan)提供了足夠空間。

據相關統(tong)計數(shu)字表(biao)明(ming)，我國地面(mian)輻射采(cai)暖市場在(zai)2010年底已達千(qian)億元(yuan)，其中(zhong)技術成(cheng)熟的(de)低溫熱水輻射采(cai)暖和散熱片采(cai)暖占(zhan)據70%以上(shang)(shang)的(de)市場份額。電采(cai)暖雖處于起(qi)步階(jie)段(duan)，但(dan)也占(zhan)據了25%左右(you)的(de)市場份額，并(bing)且保持(chi)持(chi)續上(shang)(shang)升的(de)趨(qu)勢。

如今，全國各地針對電(dian)(dian)(dian)采暖(nuan)紛紛出(chu)臺優惠政策，這(zhe)從側(ce)面(mian)展現出(chu)了電(dian)(dian)(dian)采暖(nuan)的(de)(de)(de)巨大潛力，也為(wei)碳纖(xian)維發熱(re)電(dian)(dian)(dian)纜的(de)(de)(de)發展提供了無限的(de)(de)(de)可能性。就目前各個集中供暖(nuan)區域推(tui)出(chu)的(de)(de)(de)供暖(nuan)政策來(lai)看，煤炭供熱(re)的(de)(de)(de)時代正(zheng)在(zai)成為(wei)歷(li)史(shi)。而新型的(de)(de)(de)環保節能的(de)(de)(de)采暖(nuan)方式正(zheng)在(zai)占領市場，其中電(dian)(dian)(dian)采暖(nuan)以其成熟(shu)的(de)(de)(de)行(xing)業體(ti)系和卓越的(de)(de)(de)供暖(nuan)效(xiao)果正(zheng)在(zai)不斷受到重視(shi)。這(zhe)為(wei)正(zheng)處于產(chan)能過(guo)剩的(de)(de)(de)電(dian)(dian)(dian)纜產(chan)業開辟了一個新的(de)(de)(de)市場。