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日前，國網天津市電(dian)(dian)力公司提(ti)出的(de)“以電(dian)(dian)供熱(re)”試點規劃，被(bei)寫入(ru)(ru)天津市政府(fu)工作(zuo)報(bao)告，預示(shi)著天津市加熱(re)電(dian)(dian)纜的(de)需求量將(jiang)不(bu)斷(duan)提(ti)高。“推廣電(dian)(dian)能替代(dai)工程(cheng)，啟(qi)動以電(dian)(dian)供熱(re)試點”被(bei)寫入(ru)(ru)天津市政府(fu)工作(zuo)報(bao)告，這標(biao)志著天津電(dian)(dian)能替代(dai)工作(zuo)已進入(ru)(ru)政府(fu)主導、系統推進的(de)新階段。

當前(qian)電能替(ti)代技(ji)術成熟，經(jing)濟優勢明顯，清潔環(huan)保已(yi)成為政府和廣(guang)大(da)用戶的共識。一直以(yi)來，北方地區冬(dong)季供熱(re)取(qu)暖(nuan)主要(yao)是(shi)采(cai)用燃煤鍋爐，造成嚴(yan)重大(da)氣(qi)污染。如果采(cai)取(qu)電能替(ti)代，以(yi)電能或(huo)太陽(yang)能代替(ti)燃煤蒸汽供熱(re)，不但供熱(re)成本大(da)幅(fu)度降低，而且不會造成環(huan)境(jing)污染。

在(zai)有些專(zhuan)家看來，電(dian)(dian)能作為清潔能源的優勢凸顯，替代潛力巨大。4月2日，國(guo)家電(dian)(dian)網公司召開了(le)(le)2015年電(dian)(dian)能替代工作推(tui)進會，發布了(le)(le)《國(guo)家電(dian)(dian)網公司2015年全(quan)面深入推(tui)進電(dian)(dian)能替代行動計(ji)劃(hua)》，提(ti)出了(le)(le)確(que)保(bao)全(quan)年完(wan)成650億(yi)千(qian)瓦時、力爭(zheng)實現(xian)750億(yi)千(qian)瓦時替代電(dian)(dian)量。

據了解(jie)，今年國家電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)網公司將(jiang)著力鞏(gong)固擴大電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)窯爐(lu)、電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)鍋爐(lu)、熱泵(beng)等(deng)(deng)成熟項目的實施范(fan)圍，因地制宜拓展新領域、推(tui)(tui)廣(guang)新技(ji)術(shu)，除(chu)在(zai)港口地區(qu)(qu)推(tui)(tui)廣(guang)岸(an)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)替代(dai)(通過電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)纜將(jiang)船舶用(yong)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)與岸(an)上電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)源連接，在(zai)船舶靠岸(an)期間采(cai)用(yong)陸地電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)源供(gong)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian))外(wai)，還將(jiang)對居民區(qu)(qu)、學校等(deng)(deng)用(yong)戶推(tui)(tui)廣(guang)碳晶、電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)熱膜、發熱電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)纜等(deng)(deng)技(ji)術(shu)，在(zai)企(qi)事(shi)業單位食堂推(tui)(tui)廣(guang)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)磁灶、電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)蒸鍋，在(zai)油田(tian)推(tui)(tui)廣(guang)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)動(dong)鉆機，在(zai)油氣輸送管線(xian)推(tui)(tui)廣(guang)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力加壓(ya)等(deng)(deng)。

從消費端來看，各地主要通過(guo)以(yi)電(dian)(dian)代煤(mei)(mei)、以(yi)電(dian)(dian)代油來促進節能減排。北(bei)京市城六區基本取消燃(ran)煤(mei)(mei)鍋爐，農村地區新增(zeng)減煤(mei)(mei)換(huan)煤(mei)(mei)120萬噸。河北(bei)省提(ti)出(chu)大(da)幅壓(ya)減煤(mei)(mei)炭用量，實(shi)施煤(mei)(mei)電(dian)(dian)節能減排升級(ji)改造行動計劃(hua)。在歐美(mei)發達(da)國(guo)家，電(dian)(dian)采暖(nuan)普及率(lv)非常高，美(mei)國(guo)80%的城市實(shi)行電(dian)(dian)采暖(nuan)，加拿大(da)、德(de)國(guo)、法國(guo)等電(dian)(dian)采暖(nuan)比例均在50%以(yi)上。

有專家分析認為(wei)，國內大(da)力開展(zhan)電能(neng)替(ti)代，能(neng)有效緩(huan)解(jie)電纜(lan)產(chan)業產(chan)能(neng)過(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)剩(sheng)(sheng)帶來的(de)(de)巨(ju)大(da)壓力。國內電線電纜(lan)行(xing)業產(chan)能(neng)過(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)剩(sheng)(sheng)以及設備(bei)過(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)剩(sheng)(sheng)是不(bu)爭的(de)(de)事(shi)實，產(chan)能(neng)過(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)剩(sheng)(sheng)意味著(zhu)(zhu)供大(da)于求，意味著(zhu)(zhu)惡性競爭;而設備(bei)過(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)剩(sheng)(sheng)又(you)反映(ying)出開工(gong)率(lv)不(bu)足。事(shi)實上，僅次于汽車制(zhi)造業的(de)(de)第二(er)大(da)產(chan)業電線電纜(lan)行(xing)業在贏(ying)得“全球(qiu)第一”之后，卻因(yin)蜂擁(yong)而上深陷“紅海”的(de)(de)產(chan)能(neng)嚴重過(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)剩(sheng)(sheng)之中。不(bu)足四(si)成(cheng)的(de)(de)產(chan)能(neng)開工(gong)率(lv)還不(bu)到歐美同期一半，連續(xu)萎靡的(de)(de)虧(kui)損包袱成(cheng)為(wei)不(bu)少上市公(gong)司不(bu)能(neng)承受之重，欲剝(bo)離減(jian)負。

近(jin)來研發成功的(de)碳纖維加(jia)熱(re)電(dian)(dian)纜(lan)，將加(jia)熱(re)電(dian)(dian)纜(lan)系統的(de)應用(yong)推向(xiang)了技術創新階段(duan)。推行“以電(dian)(dian)供熱(re)”的(de)應用(yong)，廣泛(fan)涉及千家萬戶。例如在住宅內部，可實現墻壁、地(di)板、空(kong)間加(jia)熱(re)。其中，僅(jin)墻壁和地(di)板加(jia)熱(re)系統，就需要大量(liang)加(jia)熱(re)電(dian)(dian)纜(lan)。此(ci)外，根(gen)據外國(guo)經(jing)驗，道路和機場(chang)融雪加(jia)熱(re)，也(ye)普遍首選加(jia)熱(re)電(dian)(dian)纜(lan)系統。

電(dian)采暖相比燃煤(mei)采暖優勢比較明顯。當前，國(guo)內電(dian)力供(gong)需矛盾(dun)將(jiang)日趨(qu)緩(huan)和，2006年中國(guo)電(dian)力供(gong)需基本(ben)平衡。從2007年開始，一(yi)部(bu)分煤(mei)炭(tan)產地(di)為(wei)降低煤(mei)炭(tan)運輸成(cheng)本(ben)，大(da)力發(fa)展(zhan)(zhan)火(huo)力發(fa)電(dian)，變(bian)煤(mei)炭(tan)運輸為(wei)電(dian)力輸送，并且國(guo)家正(zheng)在大(da)力發(fa)展(zhan)(zhan)風(feng)力發(fa)電(dian)、太陽能發(fa)電(dian)、水力發(fa)電(dian)、核電(dian)等(deng)，電(dian)力已出現冬季過剩(sheng)現象，這就(jiu)為(wei)電(dian)采暖提供(gong)了足夠空(kong)間。

據(ju)(ju)相關統計數(shu)字表明，我國(guo)地面輻射采暖(nuan)(nuan)市場(chang)在2010年底已(yi)達千(qian)億元，其中(zhong)技術成熟的低溫(wen)熱水輻射采暖(nuan)(nuan)和散(san)熱片(pian)采暖(nuan)(nuan)占(zhan)據(ju)(ju)70%以上的市場(chang)份額。電采暖(nuan)(nuan)雖處于起(qi)步階段，但也占(zhan)據(ju)(ju)了25%左右的市場(chang)份額，并且保持(chi)持(chi)續上升的趨勢。

如(ru)今(jin)，全國各地針對電采暖(nuan)(nuan)(nuan)紛紛出臺優惠政(zheng)策，這從(cong)側面展現(xian)出了(le)(le)電采暖(nuan)(nuan)(nuan)的(de)(de)(de)巨大潛力，也為(wei)碳纖維發熱電纜(lan)的(de)(de)(de)發展提供了(le)(le)無(wu)限的(de)(de)(de)可能(neng)性。就目前各個集中(zhong)供暖(nuan)(nuan)(nuan)區域推出的(de)(de)(de)供暖(nuan)(nuan)(nuan)政(zheng)策來(lai)看，煤炭(tan)供熱的(de)(de)(de)時代正在成為(wei)歷史。而新型的(de)(de)(de)環保(bao)節能(neng)的(de)(de)(de)采暖(nuan)(nuan)(nuan)方式正在占領市場，其(qi)中(zhong)電采暖(nuan)(nuan)(nuan)以其(qi)成熟的(de)(de)(de)行(xing)業(ye)體系和卓越(yue)的(de)(de)(de)供暖(nuan)(nuan)(nuan)效果(guo)正在不斷(duan)受到重視。這為(wei)正處于(yu)產能(neng)過剩的(de)(de)(de)電纜(lan)產業(ye)開辟了(le)(le)一個新的(de)(de)(de)市場。