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日前(qian)，國網(wang)天(tian)津市電(dian)(dian)力(li)公司(si)提出的(de)“以(yi)電(dian)(dian)供(gong)熱”試點規(gui)劃，被寫入天(tian)津市政府工作(zuo)報(bao)告(gao)，預(yu)示著天(tian)津市加熱電(dian)(dian)纜的(de)需求量將不斷提高。“推廣電(dian)(dian)能替(ti)代工程，啟動以(yi)電(dian)(dian)供(gong)熱試點”被寫入天(tian)津市政府工作(zuo)報(bao)告(gao)，這標(biao)志著天(tian)津電(dian)(dian)能替(ti)代工作(zuo)已進入政府主導(dao)、系(xi)統推進的(de)新階(jie)段(duan)。

當(dang)前電能替代(dai)技術成熟(shu)，經濟(ji)優勢(shi)明顯，清潔環保已成為政府和廣大用戶的(de)共識。一(yi)直以來(lai)，北方地區冬季供熱取(qu)暖主(zhu)要是(shi)采用燃煤(mei)(mei)鍋爐，造成嚴重大氣(qi)污染。如果采取(qu)電能替代(dai)，以電能或太陽(yang)能代(dai)替燃煤(mei)(mei)蒸汽供熱，不(bu)但供熱成本大幅度降低，而且不(bu)會(hui)造成環境污染。

在(zai)有些專(zhuan)家(jia)看(kan)來，電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)能作(zuo)為清(qing)潔能源的優勢凸顯，替(ti)(ti)代(dai)潛力巨(ju)大(da)。4月(yue)2日(ri)，國家(jia)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)網公(gong)司召開了2015年(nian)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)能替(ti)(ti)代(dai)工作(zuo)推進會，發布了《國家(jia)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)網公(gong)司2015年(nian)全面(mian)深入推進電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)能替(ti)(ti)代(dai)行動計劃》，提出了確保全年(nian)完成650億(yi)千瓦(wa)(wa)時(shi)、力爭實現750億(yi)千瓦(wa)(wa)時(shi)替(ti)(ti)代(dai)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)量。

據了解，今年(nian)國(guo)家(jia)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)網公司將著力(li)鞏固(gu)擴大電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)窯爐(lu)、電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)鍋(guo)爐(lu)、熱泵等成熟項目的實(shi)施范圍，因(yin)地制(zhi)宜拓展(zhan)新(xin)(xin)領域、推(tui)廣(guang)新(xin)(xin)技術，除在(zai)港口(kou)地區(qu)推(tui)廣(guang)岸電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)替代(通過電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)纜將船舶用電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)與岸上(shang)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)源連接，在(zai)船舶靠岸期間采用陸(lu)地電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)源供電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian))外，還將對居民(min)區(qu)、學校(xiao)等用戶推(tui)廣(guang)碳(tan)晶、電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)熱膜、發熱電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)纜等技術，在(zai)企事業單位食堂推(tui)廣(guang)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)磁灶、電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)蒸鍋(guo)，在(zai)油田(tian)推(tui)廣(guang)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)動鉆機，在(zai)油氣輸送管線推(tui)廣(guang)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)加壓等。

從消(xiao)(xiao)費端來看，各地主(zhu)要通過以電(dian)(dian)代(dai)煤、以電(dian)(dian)代(dai)油來促進節能減排。北京市城六區(qu)基(ji)本取消(xiao)(xiao)燃煤鍋爐，農村(cun)地區(qu)新(xin)增(zeng)減煤換(huan)煤120萬噸。河北省(sheng)提出大(da)幅(fu)壓減煤炭用(yong)量，實施煤電(dian)(dian)節能減排升級改造行(xing)動計劃。在歐美發達(da)國家，電(dian)(dian)采暖(nuan)(nuan)普及率非常高，美國80%的城市實行(xing)電(dian)(dian)采暖(nuan)(nuan)，加拿(na)大(da)、德國、法國等電(dian)(dian)采暖(nuan)(nuan)比例(li)均(jun)在50%以上(shang)。

有專家分析認為，國內(nei)大(da)力(li)開展電(dian)能(neng)(neng)(neng)替(ti)代，能(neng)(neng)(neng)有效(xiao)緩解電(dian)纜(lan)產(chan)(chan)(chan)業(ye)(ye)產(chan)(chan)(chan)能(neng)(neng)(neng)過剩(sheng)帶(dai)來的(de)巨大(da)壓力(li)。國內(nei)電(dian)線(xian)電(dian)纜(lan)行(xing)業(ye)(ye)產(chan)(chan)(chan)能(neng)(neng)(neng)過剩(sheng)以及設備過剩(sheng)是不(bu)爭(zheng)的(de)事實，產(chan)(chan)(chan)能(neng)(neng)(neng)過剩(sheng)意(yi)味著供(gong)大(da)于(yu)求，意(yi)味著惡性競爭(zheng);而設備過剩(sheng)又(you)反映出開工率不(bu)足。事實上(shang)，僅(jin)次(ci)于(yu)汽(qi)車制造業(ye)(ye)的(de)第二大(da)產(chan)(chan)(chan)業(ye)(ye)電(dian)線(xian)電(dian)纜(lan)行(xing)業(ye)(ye)在贏得“全球第一”之(zhi)后(hou)，卻因蜂擁(yong)而上(shang)深陷(xian)“紅(hong)海”的(de)產(chan)(chan)(chan)能(neng)(neng)(neng)嚴重過剩(sheng)之(zhi)中。不(bu)足四成(cheng)(cheng)的(de)產(chan)(chan)(chan)能(neng)(neng)(neng)開工率還不(bu)到歐美同期一半(ban)，連續萎靡的(de)虧損包袱成(cheng)(cheng)為不(bu)少上(shang)市公司不(bu)能(neng)(neng)(neng)承受(shou)之(zhi)重，欲(yu)剝離減負(fu)。

近來研發成功的碳纖維(wei)加(jia)熱(re)電(dian)(dian)纜(lan)，將(jiang)加(jia)熱(re)電(dian)(dian)纜(lan)系(xi)統的應用推向(xiang)了技術創新階(jie)段。推行“以電(dian)(dian)供熱(re)”的應用，廣泛涉及(ji)千家萬(wan)戶。例如(ru)在住宅內(nei)部，可實現墻壁(bi)、地(di)板(ban)、空間加(jia)熱(re)。其中，僅墻壁(bi)和地(di)板(ban)加(jia)熱(re)系(xi)統，就(jiu)需要(yao)大量加(jia)熱(re)電(dian)(dian)纜(lan)。此外，根(gen)據外國(guo)經驗，道路和機場融(rong)雪加(jia)熱(re)，也(ye)普遍首選(xuan)加(jia)熱(re)電(dian)(dian)纜(lan)系(xi)統。

電(dian)(dian)(dian)采(cai)(cai)暖相比燃煤(mei)采(cai)(cai)暖優勢比較(jiao)明顯。當前(qian)，國內電(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)(li)供需(xu)(xu)矛盾將日趨緩(huan)和，2006年(nian)中國電(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)(li)供需(xu)(xu)基(ji)本平衡(heng)。從2007年(nian)開始，一部分煤(mei)炭(tan)產(chan)地為(wei)(wei)降(jiang)低煤(mei)炭(tan)運輸(shu)成本，大力(li)(li)(li)發展(zhan)火力(li)(li)(li)發電(dian)(dian)(dian)，變煤(mei)炭(tan)運輸(shu)為(wei)(wei)電(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)(li)輸(shu)送，并且國家正在大力(li)(li)(li)發展(zhan)風力(li)(li)(li)發電(dian)(dian)(dian)、太陽能(neng)發電(dian)(dian)(dian)、水力(li)(li)(li)發電(dian)(dian)(dian)、核電(dian)(dian)(dian)等，電(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)(li)已出現(xian)冬季(ji)過剩(sheng)現(xian)象，這就為(wei)(wei)電(dian)(dian)(dian)采(cai)(cai)暖提供了足夠空間。

據(ju)(ju)相關(guan)統計數字表明，我國地面輻射(she)采(cai)暖(nuan)(nuan)市(shi)(shi)場在2010年底已達(da)千億元，其(qi)中技術(shu)成熟的(de)低(di)溫熱(re)水輻射(she)采(cai)暖(nuan)(nuan)和散熱(re)片采(cai)暖(nuan)(nuan)占據(ju)(ju)70%以上的(de)市(shi)(shi)場份額(e)(e)。電采(cai)暖(nuan)(nuan)雖處于起步階段，但(dan)也占據(ju)(ju)了(le)25%左(zuo)右(you)的(de)市(shi)(shi)場份額(e)(e)，并(bing)且保持持續上升的(de)趨勢(shi)。

如今，全國各(ge)地針(zhen)對(dui)電采暖(nuan)(nuan)紛紛出臺優惠政策，這從側面展(zhan)(zhan)現(xian)出了(le)(le)電采暖(nuan)(nuan)的巨大潛力(li)，也(ye)為(wei)碳纖維發熱(re)電纜的發展(zhan)(zhan)提供了(le)(le)無限的可能(neng)性(xing)。就目(mu)前各(ge)個集中(zhong)供暖(nuan)(nuan)區(qu)域推出的供暖(nuan)(nuan)政策來看，煤炭供熱(re)的時代正在成(cheng)為(wei)歷史。而新(xin)型(xing)的環保節能(neng)的采暖(nuan)(nuan)方(fang)式正在占領市場，其(qi)中(zhong)電采暖(nuan)(nuan)以其(qi)成(cheng)熟的行(xing)業體系和卓越的供暖(nuan)(nuan)效果正在不斷(duan)受(shou)到重(zhong)視。這為(wei)正處(chu)于產能(neng)過剩(sheng)的電纜產業開辟了(le)(le)一(yi)個新(xin)的市場。