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日(ri)前，國(guo)網天(tian)津(jin)(jin)市電(dian)力公司提出的(de)“以電(dian)供熱(re)(re)”試點(dian)規劃，被寫入(ru)天(tian)津(jin)(jin)市政府(fu)工(gong)(gong)作(zuo)報告，預示(shi)著天(tian)津(jin)(jin)市加熱(re)(re)電(dian)纜的(de)需(xu)求量將(jiang)不(bu)斷提高。“推(tui)廣電(dian)能替代(dai)工(gong)(gong)程，啟動以電(dian)供熱(re)(re)試點(dian)”被寫入(ru)天(tian)津(jin)(jin)市政府(fu)工(gong)(gong)作(zuo)報告，這標志(zhi)著天(tian)津(jin)(jin)電(dian)能替代(dai)工(gong)(gong)作(zuo)已進入(ru)政府(fu)主導、系(xi)統推(tui)進的(de)新階段。

當前(qian)電(dian)(dian)能(neng)(neng)替(ti)代(dai)技術成熟，經濟優勢明顯，清潔環(huan)(huan)保已成為政府和廣大用戶的共識(shi)。一直以來(lai)，北方地區(qu)冬季(ji)供熱(re)取(qu)暖主要是采(cai)(cai)用燃煤鍋爐(lu)，造成嚴重(zhong)大氣污(wu)染(ran)。如(ru)果采(cai)(cai)取(qu)電(dian)(dian)能(neng)(neng)替(ti)代(dai)，以電(dian)(dian)能(neng)(neng)或太陽能(neng)(neng)代(dai)替(ti)燃煤蒸(zheng)汽供熱(re)，不(bu)但(dan)供熱(re)成本(ben)大幅度(du)降低(di)，而且不(bu)會(hui)造成環(huan)(huan)境(jing)污(wu)染(ran)。

在有些專家(jia)看來(lai)，電(dian)(dian)能(neng)作為清潔能(neng)源(yuan)的優(you)勢(shi)凸顯，替代潛力巨(ju)大。4月2日，國(guo)家(jia)電(dian)(dian)網公司(si)召(zhao)開了2015年電(dian)(dian)能(neng)替代工作推進會，發布(bu)了《國(guo)家(jia)電(dian)(dian)網公司(si)2015年全(quan)面深入推進電(dian)(dian)能(neng)替代行動計劃》，提出了確保全(quan)年完成650億千瓦時(shi)、力爭實現750億千瓦時(shi)替代電(dian)(dian)量。

據了解，今年國家(jia)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)網(wang)公(gong)司將著力鞏固擴大電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)窯(yao)爐(lu)、電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)鍋(guo)爐(lu)、熱(re)泵等成熟項目的實施范(fan)圍，因(yin)地(di)制宜拓展新領域、推(tui)(tui)(tui)廣新技術，除在港口(kou)地(di)區(qu)推(tui)(tui)(tui)廣岸電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)替代(通過電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)纜將船舶用電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)與岸上電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)源連接，在船舶靠岸期間采用陸地(di)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)源供(gong)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian))外(wai)，還將對居民區(qu)、學校(xiao)等用戶推(tui)(tui)(tui)廣碳晶(jing)、電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)熱(re)膜(mo)、發(fa)熱(re)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)纜等技術，在企事業單位食(shi)堂(tang)推(tui)(tui)(tui)廣電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)磁灶、電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)蒸鍋(guo)，在油(you)(you)田推(tui)(tui)(tui)廣電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)動鉆機，在油(you)(you)氣輸送(song)管線推(tui)(tui)(tui)廣電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力加壓等。

從(cong)消費端來看(kan)，各地主要通過以電代煤(mei)、以電代油來促進(jin)節能減排。北(bei)京市城六(liu)區基本取消燃(ran)煤(mei)鍋爐(lu)，農村地區新增減煤(mei)換煤(mei)120萬噸。河北(bei)省提出大(da)幅(fu)壓減煤(mei)炭(tan)用量，實施煤(mei)電節能減排升級改造行動計劃(hua)。在(zai)歐美(mei)發(fa)達國(guo)家，電采暖(nuan)普及率非常高，美(mei)國(guo)80%的(de)城市實行電采暖(nuan)，加拿大(da)、德國(guo)、法國(guo)等電采暖(nuan)比例均在(zai)50%以上。

有(you)專家分析認(ren)為，國(guo)內大(da)(da)力開(kai)展電(dian)能(neng)(neng)替代，能(neng)(neng)有(you)效(xiao)緩解電(dian)纜產業(ye)產能(neng)(neng)過(guo)(guo)(guo)剩帶來的巨大(da)(da)壓力。國(guo)內電(dian)線電(dian)纜行(xing)業(ye)產能(neng)(neng)過(guo)(guo)(guo)剩以及設(she)備過(guo)(guo)(guo)剩是不(bu)爭(zheng)的事(shi)(shi)實，產能(neng)(neng)過(guo)(guo)(guo)剩意味著供大(da)(da)于求，意味著惡性競爭(zheng);而(er)設(she)備過(guo)(guo)(guo)剩又反映出開(kai)工率(lv)不(bu)足。事(shi)(shi)實上，僅次于汽車制造業(ye)的第二大(da)(da)產業(ye)電(dian)線電(dian)纜行(xing)業(ye)在贏(ying)得(de)“全球第一”之后，卻因蜂(feng)擁而(er)上深陷“紅海”的產能(neng)(neng)嚴重過(guo)(guo)(guo)剩之中。不(bu)足四成(cheng)的產能(neng)(neng)開(kai)工率(lv)還不(bu)到歐美同(tong)期一半，連續(xu)萎靡的虧(kui)損包袱成(cheng)為不(bu)少上市公司(si)不(bu)能(neng)(neng)承受之重，欲剝離減負。

近來研發成功的(de)碳(tan)纖維(wei)加熱(re)(re)(re)電(dian)纜(lan)，將加熱(re)(re)(re)電(dian)纜(lan)系(xi)統的(de)應用(yong)推向了技(ji)術創新(xin)階段。推行(xing)“以電(dian)供(gong)熱(re)(re)(re)”的(de)應用(yong)，廣(guang)泛涉及千家萬戶。例如在住宅內部，可實現墻壁(bi)、地板、空間加熱(re)(re)(re)。其中(zhong)，僅墻壁(bi)和(he)地板加熱(re)(re)(re)系(xi)統，就需要大量(liang)加熱(re)(re)(re)電(dian)纜(lan)。此外，根據外國經驗，道路和(he)機場融雪加熱(re)(re)(re)，也(ye)普遍首選(xuan)加熱(re)(re)(re)電(dian)纜(lan)系(xi)統。

電(dian)采(cai)(cai)暖相比燃煤(mei)(mei)(mei)采(cai)(cai)暖優(you)勢比較(jiao)明顯。當前，國(guo)內電(dian)力(li)(li)供(gong)(gong)需矛盾(dun)將日趨緩(huan)和，2006年(nian)中國(guo)電(dian)力(li)(li)供(gong)(gong)需基(ji)本平(ping)衡。從2007年(nian)開始，一部分煤(mei)(mei)(mei)炭(tan)(tan)產(chan)地(di)為降低煤(mei)(mei)(mei)炭(tan)(tan)運(yun)(yun)輸(shu)(shu)成(cheng)本，大力(li)(li)發(fa)展火力(li)(li)發(fa)電(dian)，變(bian)煤(mei)(mei)(mei)炭(tan)(tan)運(yun)(yun)輸(shu)(shu)為電(dian)力(li)(li)輸(shu)(shu)送，并且(qie)國(guo)家正在大力(li)(li)發(fa)展風力(li)(li)發(fa)電(dian)、太陽(yang)能發(fa)電(dian)、水力(li)(li)發(fa)電(dian)、核電(dian)等，電(dian)力(li)(li)已出(chu)現冬季過(guo)剩現象，這就為電(dian)采(cai)(cai)暖提供(gong)(gong)了(le)足(zu)夠空間。

據(ju)相關統計數(shu)字表明(ming)，我國地面輻射(she)采(cai)(cai)(cai)(cai)暖(nuan)(nuan)市場在2010年底已(yi)達千億元，其(qi)中技術成熟的(de)低(di)溫(wen)熱水輻射(she)采(cai)(cai)(cai)(cai)暖(nuan)(nuan)和散熱片采(cai)(cai)(cai)(cai)暖(nuan)(nuan)占據(ju)70%以上(shang)的(de)市場份(fen)(fen)額。電(dian)采(cai)(cai)(cai)(cai)暖(nuan)(nuan)雖(sui)處(chu)于起(qi)步階段，但也(ye)占據(ju)了(le)25%左右的(de)市場份(fen)(fen)額，并(bing)且保持持續上(shang)升的(de)趨勢(shi)。

如(ru)今，全(quan)國各(ge)地針對電采(cai)暖(nuan)(nuan)紛紛出(chu)臺(tai)優惠政(zheng)(zheng)策(ce)，這從側面展現出(chu)了(le)(le)電采(cai)暖(nuan)(nuan)的(de)巨大潛(qian)力，也為碳纖(xian)維發(fa)熱(re)電纜的(de)發(fa)展提供了(le)(le)無限的(de)可能(neng)性。就目前各(ge)個集中供暖(nuan)(nuan)區域推出(chu)的(de)供暖(nuan)(nuan)政(zheng)(zheng)策(ce)來看，煤炭(tan)供熱(re)的(de)時(shi)代正在(zai)成(cheng)為歷史。而新型的(de)環保節能(neng)的(de)采(cai)暖(nuan)(nuan)方式正在(zai)占領市(shi)場，其中電采(cai)暖(nuan)(nuan)以其成(cheng)熟(shu)的(de)行業體(ti)系(xi)和卓越(yue)的(de)供暖(nuan)(nuan)效果正在(zai)不斷受到重視。這為正處于產(chan)能(neng)過(guo)剩的(de)電纜產(chan)業開辟了(le)(le)一個新的(de)市(shi)場。