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日前，國網天(tian)(tian)津市(shi)電(dian)力公司提出的(de)(de)“以(yi)電(dian)供(gong)熱”試點規劃，被(bei)(bei)寫入天(tian)(tian)津市(shi)政府(fu)工作報告(gao)，預示著(zhu)天(tian)(tian)津市(shi)加熱電(dian)纜的(de)(de)需求量將不斷提高。“推(tui)廣電(dian)能替(ti)(ti)代(dai)工程，啟動以(yi)電(dian)供(gong)熱試點”被(bei)(bei)寫入天(tian)(tian)津市(shi)政府(fu)工作報告(gao)，這(zhe)標志著(zhu)天(tian)(tian)津電(dian)能替(ti)(ti)代(dai)工作已進入政府(fu)主導(dao)、系統推(tui)進的(de)(de)新(xin)階段(duan)。

當前電(dian)能替(ti)代技術成(cheng)熟(shu)，經濟(ji)優勢(shi)明顯，清潔環保已(yi)成(cheng)為(wei)政(zheng)府和廣大用戶的共(gong)識(shi)。一(yi)直以來，北方(fang)地區冬(dong)季供(gong)熱(re)取暖(nuan)主要是采用燃煤鍋爐，造成(cheng)嚴重大氣污染。如果采取電(dian)能替(ti)代，以電(dian)能或太陽能代替(ti)燃煤蒸汽供(gong)熱(re)，不但供(gong)熱(re)成(cheng)本(ben)大幅度降低，而且不會造成(cheng)環境(jing)污染。

在有些(xie)專家(jia)看來，電能(neng)作(zuo)為清(qing)潔(jie)能(neng)源的優勢凸(tu)顯(xian)，替(ti)代(dai)潛力(li)巨大(da)。4月(yue)2日，國(guo)家(jia)電網(wang)公(gong)司召開了2015年(nian)電能(neng)替(ti)代(dai)工作(zuo)推進(jin)會(hui)，發布了《國(guo)家(jia)電網(wang)公(gong)司2015年(nian)全(quan)(quan)面深入推進(jin)電能(neng)替(ti)代(dai)行(xing)動計劃》，提(ti)出了確(que)保全(quan)(quan)年(nian)完成650億(yi)千(qian)瓦時、力(li)爭(zheng)實現750億(yi)千(qian)瓦時替(ti)代(dai)電量。

據了(le)解，今年國家電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)網公司將(jiang)著(zhu)力鞏(gong)固擴大電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)窯爐、電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)鍋(guo)爐、熱泵等成熟(shu)項目的實(shi)施范圍，因地(di)制宜拓展(zhan)新(xin)領域(yu)、推廣新(xin)技(ji)術，除在港口地(di)區推廣岸(an)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)替(ti)代(通過電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)纜將(jiang)船(chuan)舶(bo)用(yong)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)與岸(an)上電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)源連接，在船(chuan)舶(bo)靠岸(an)期(qi)間采用(yong)陸(lu)地(di)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)源供電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian))外(wai)，還(huan)將(jiang)對居民區、學校等用(yong)戶(hu)推廣碳(tan)晶(jing)、電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)熱膜、發熱電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)纜等技(ji)術，在企事業單位食堂推廣電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)磁灶、電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)蒸鍋(guo)，在油田推廣電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)動鉆機，在油氣輸送(song)管線推廣電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力加(jia)壓等。

從消費端來看，各地主要(yao)通過以電(dian)(dian)代煤(mei)(mei)、以電(dian)(dian)代油(you)來促進節(jie)能(neng)減(jian)排(pai)。北京(jing)市城(cheng)六區基(ji)本取消燃煤(mei)(mei)鍋爐，農村(cun)地區新增減(jian)煤(mei)(mei)換煤(mei)(mei)120萬噸。河北省提出大(da)幅壓減(jian)煤(mei)(mei)炭用量，實施煤(mei)(mei)電(dian)(dian)節(jie)能(neng)減(jian)排(pai)升級改(gai)造行(xing)動計劃。在歐美發(fa)達國家，電(dian)(dian)采(cai)暖普(pu)及率非常(chang)高，美國80%的(de)城(cheng)市實行(xing)電(dian)(dian)采(cai)暖，加(jia)拿(na)大(da)、德(de)國、法(fa)國等(deng)電(dian)(dian)采(cai)暖比(bi)例均(jun)在50%以上。

有專(zhuan)家分析認(ren)為，國內(nei)大(da)力開展電(dian)(dian)能(neng)替代，能(neng)有效緩(huan)解電(dian)(dian)纜(lan)產(chan)(chan)(chan)業(ye)產(chan)(chan)(chan)能(neng)過(guo)(guo)剩(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)帶來的巨大(da)壓力。國內(nei)電(dian)(dian)線電(dian)(dian)纜(lan)行業(ye)產(chan)(chan)(chan)能(neng)過(guo)(guo)剩(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)以及設(she)(she)備過(guo)(guo)剩(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)是不(bu)爭的事實，產(chan)(chan)(chan)能(neng)過(guo)(guo)剩(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)意味(wei)著(zhu)供大(da)于求(qiu)，意味(wei)著(zhu)惡(e)性競爭;而設(she)(she)備過(guo)(guo)剩(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)又反映出開工率不(bu)足。事實上，僅次于汽車制造業(ye)的第二大(da)產(chan)(chan)(chan)業(ye)電(dian)(dian)線電(dian)(dian)纜(lan)行業(ye)在贏得“全球第一”之(zhi)后(hou)，卻因蜂擁而上深(shen)陷“紅海”的產(chan)(chan)(chan)能(neng)嚴重過(guo)(guo)剩(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)之(zhi)中(zhong)。不(bu)足四成的產(chan)(chan)(chan)能(neng)開工率還(huan)不(bu)到歐美同期一半，連續萎靡的虧損(sun)包袱成為不(bu)少上市公司不(bu)能(neng)承受之(zhi)重，欲剝離減負。

近來研發成功的(de)碳纖維加熱(re)(re)電(dian)(dian)纜(lan)(lan)，將加熱(re)(re)電(dian)(dian)纜(lan)(lan)系統(tong)的(de)應(ying)用推(tui)向了技術(shu)創新階段。推(tui)行“以(yi)電(dian)(dian)供(gong)熱(re)(re)”的(de)應(ying)用，廣泛涉及千(qian)家萬戶。例如(ru)在住(zhu)宅(zhai)內部，可實現(xian)墻壁、地板、空間加熱(re)(re)。其中，僅(jin)墻壁和(he)地板加熱(re)(re)系統(tong)，就需要(yao)大量(liang)加熱(re)(re)電(dian)(dian)纜(lan)(lan)。此外(wai)，根據外(wai)國經驗，道路和(he)機場(chang)融(rong)雪加熱(re)(re)，也(ye)普遍首選加熱(re)(re)電(dian)(dian)纜(lan)(lan)系統(tong)。

電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)采暖相比燃煤采暖優勢比較明顯(xian)。當前，國內電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力供需矛(mao)盾將(jiang)日趨(qu)緩和，2006年中國電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力供需基本(ben)平衡。從2007年開始，一部分煤炭產(chan)地(di)為降低煤炭運輸(shu)(shu)成本(ben)，大力發展(zhan)火力發電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)，變煤炭運輸(shu)(shu)為電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力輸(shu)(shu)送，并且國家正在大力發展(zhan)風力發電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)、太陽能(neng)發電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)、水(shui)力發電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)、核電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)等，電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力已出現(xian)冬季過(guo)剩(sheng)現(xian)象(xiang)，這(zhe)就為電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)采暖提供了足夠空間。

據(ju)(ju)相關統計數字表(biao)明，我(wo)國(guo)地面(mian)輻射采(cai)暖市(shi)場在(zai)2010年底(di)已達(da)千億元(yuan)，其中技術(shu)成熟的(de)低(di)溫熱水輻射采(cai)暖和散(san)熱片采(cai)暖占據(ju)(ju)70%以上(shang)的(de)市(shi)場份額(e)。電采(cai)暖雖處于(yu)起步階段(duan)，但(dan)也占據(ju)(ju)了25%左右的(de)市(shi)場份額(e)，并(bing)且保持(chi)持(chi)續上(shang)升的(de)趨(qu)勢。

如今(jin)，全(quan)國各(ge)地(di)針對電(dian)采暖(nuan)(nuan)紛紛出(chu)臺(tai)優(you)惠政策(ce)(ce)，這(zhe)從側面展現出(chu)了(le)電(dian)采暖(nuan)(nuan)的巨大潛力，也(ye)為碳纖維發(fa)熱電(dian)纜的發(fa)展提(ti)供(gong)了(le)無限的可能性。就目前各(ge)個集中(zhong)供(gong)暖(nuan)(nuan)區域推出(chu)的供(gong)暖(nuan)(nuan)政策(ce)(ce)來看，煤(mei)炭(tan)供(gong)熱的時代正在(zai)成為歷史。而新型的環(huan)保(bao)節能的采暖(nuan)(nuan)方式(shi)正在(zai)占領市場(chang)，其中(zhong)電(dian)采暖(nuan)(nuan)以其成熟(shu)的行業體系和(he)卓(zhuo)越的供(gong)暖(nuan)(nuan)效果正在(zai)不斷受到重視。這(zhe)為正處于(yu)產能過剩的電(dian)纜產業開(kai)辟了(le)一個新的市場(chang)。