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日(ri)前，國(guo)網天(tian)津市(shi)電(dian)力公(gong)司提出(chu)的(de)(de)“以(yi)電(dian)供熱(re)(re)”試點規劃，被(bei)寫(xie)入天(tian)津市(shi)政府工作報告(gao)，預示(shi)著天(tian)津市(shi)加(jia)熱(re)(re)電(dian)纜(lan)的(de)(de)需求量(liang)將不斷提高。“推(tui)廣電(dian)能(neng)替代工程，啟動(dong)以(yi)電(dian)供熱(re)(re)試點”被(bei)寫(xie)入天(tian)津市(shi)政府工作報告(gao)，這標志著天(tian)津電(dian)能(neng)替代工作已(yi)進入政府主導、系統推(tui)進的(de)(de)新階段。

當前電能替代技術(shu)成(cheng)熟，經(jing)濟優勢明顯(xian)，清潔(jie)環保(bao)已成(cheng)為政府和廣大用戶的共識。一直以來，北方地區冬季(ji)供(gong)(gong)熱取暖主要(yao)是采用燃煤鍋爐，造成(cheng)嚴重大氣污(wu)染(ran)。如果采取電能替代，以電能或太陽(yang)能代替燃煤蒸汽供(gong)(gong)熱，不(bu)但供(gong)(gong)熱成(cheng)本大幅度降低，而且(qie)不(bu)會造成(cheng)環境污(wu)染(ran)。

在有些專家(jia)看來，電(dian)能作為清潔能源的優勢(shi)凸顯(xian)，替(ti)代潛力(li)巨大。4月(yue)2日，國家(jia)電(dian)網(wang)公司召開了2015年(nian)電(dian)能替(ti)代工(gong)作推(tui)進(jin)會，發布了《國家(jia)電(dian)網(wang)公司2015年(nian)全(quan)面深入推(tui)進(jin)電(dian)能替(ti)代行(xing)動計劃》，提出了確(que)保全(quan)年(nian)完成650億千瓦(wa)時、力(li)爭實(shi)現750億千瓦(wa)時替(ti)代電(dian)量。

據了解，今年國家電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)網公司(si)將著力(li)鞏固(gu)擴大電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)窯爐(lu)、電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)鍋爐(lu)、熱(re)泵(beng)等(deng)成熟項目的實施范圍，因地制宜拓展新領域、推(tui)(tui)廣(guang)新技術，除在(zai)港(gang)口地區推(tui)(tui)廣(guang)岸(an)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)替代(通過電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)纜將船(chuan)舶用(yong)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)與岸(an)上電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)源連接，在(zai)船(chuan)舶靠岸(an)期間采(cai)用(yong)陸地電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)源供電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian))外，還將對居(ju)民區、學校等(deng)用(yong)戶推(tui)(tui)廣(guang)碳晶、電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)熱(re)膜(mo)、發熱(re)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)纜等(deng)技術，在(zai)企事(shi)業單位食堂推(tui)(tui)廣(guang)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)磁灶、電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)蒸鍋，在(zai)油(you)(you)田推(tui)(tui)廣(guang)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)動(dong)鉆機，在(zai)油(you)(you)氣輸送管(guan)線(xian)推(tui)(tui)廣(guang)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)加壓等(deng)。

從消費端來(lai)看，各地主要通過(guo)以電(dian)(dian)(dian)代(dai)煤(mei)(mei)、以電(dian)(dian)(dian)代(dai)油來(lai)促進節能(neng)減排。北(bei)京市(shi)城(cheng)六區基本(ben)取消燃煤(mei)(mei)鍋爐，農村(cun)地區新增(zeng)減煤(mei)(mei)換(huan)煤(mei)(mei)120萬(wan)噸。河(he)北(bei)省(sheng)提出大幅壓減煤(mei)(mei)炭用量(liang)，實施煤(mei)(mei)電(dian)(dian)(dian)節能(neng)減排升級改造行(xing)動計(ji)劃。在(zai)歐美發達國家，電(dian)(dian)(dian)采暖普及率非常高，美國80%的(de)城(cheng)市(shi)實行(xing)電(dian)(dian)(dian)采暖，加拿大、德國、法國等(deng)電(dian)(dian)(dian)采暖比(bi)例均在(zai)50%以上。

有(you)專家分析認為，國內(nei)大(da)(da)力(li)開展電(dian)能替代(dai)，能有(you)效(xiao)緩解電(dian)纜產(chan)(chan)業(ye)產(chan)(chan)能過剩(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)帶來的(de)巨大(da)(da)壓力(li)。國內(nei)電(dian)線電(dian)纜行(xing)業(ye)產(chan)(chan)能過剩(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)以(yi)及設(she)備過剩(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)是不爭(zheng)的(de)事實，產(chan)(chan)能過剩(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)意(yi)味(wei)著(zhu)供(gong)大(da)(da)于求，意(yi)味(wei)著(zhu)惡性競爭(zheng);而(er)設(she)備過剩(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)又反映出開工率(lv)不足(zu)。事實上(shang)，僅次于汽車(che)制造業(ye)的(de)第二大(da)(da)產(chan)(chan)業(ye)電(dian)線電(dian)纜行(xing)業(ye)在贏得(de)“全球第一”之(zhi)后，卻(que)因蜂擁而(er)上(shang)深陷“紅(hong)海”的(de)產(chan)(chan)能嚴(yan)重(zhong)過剩(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)之(zhi)中。不足(zu)四成(cheng)的(de)產(chan)(chan)能開工率(lv)還不到歐(ou)美同期一半，連續萎靡的(de)虧損包袱成(cheng)為不少上(shang)市(shi)公(gong)司不能承受(shou)之(zhi)重(zhong)，欲(yu)剝離減(jian)負。

近來研(yan)發成功的(de)(de)碳纖維加(jia)熱(re)電(dian)纜，將加(jia)熱(re)電(dian)纜系(xi)(xi)統的(de)(de)應用(yong)推向了技術(shu)創新(xin)階段。推行“以電(dian)供熱(re)”的(de)(de)應用(yong)，廣泛(fan)涉及(ji)千家萬戶(hu)。例(li)如在住宅內部，可實現墻壁(bi)、地板、空間加(jia)熱(re)。其(qi)中(zhong)，僅墻壁(bi)和地板加(jia)熱(re)系(xi)(xi)統，就需要大(da)量(liang)加(jia)熱(re)電(dian)纜。此外，根據外國經驗，道(dao)路和機場融雪(xue)加(jia)熱(re)，也普(pu)遍首選加(jia)熱(re)電(dian)纜系(xi)(xi)統。

電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)采暖相比(bi)燃煤(mei)采暖優勢比(bi)較(jiao)明顯。當前(qian)，國(guo)內電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)供需(xu)矛盾將日趨緩(huan)和，2006年中國(guo)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)供需(xu)基本平(ping)衡。從(cong)2007年開(kai)始，一部分煤(mei)炭(tan)產地為降低煤(mei)炭(tan)運輸成(cheng)本，大力(li)發展火力(li)發電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)，變煤(mei)炭(tan)運輸為電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)輸送，并且國(guo)家正(zheng)在(zai)大力(li)發展風力(li)發電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)、太陽能(neng)發電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)、水(shui)力(li)發電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)、核電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)等，電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)已出(chu)現冬季(ji)過(guo)剩現象，這就為電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)采暖提供了足夠(gou)空間(jian)。

據(ju)相(xiang)關統(tong)計數字表明，我國地面輻射采(cai)(cai)暖(nuan)市場(chang)在2010年(nian)底已(yi)達千億元，其中技(ji)術成熟的(de)低溫熱(re)水輻射采(cai)(cai)暖(nuan)和散熱(re)片采(cai)(cai)暖(nuan)占據(ju)70%以上(shang)的(de)市場(chang)份(fen)(fen)額(e)。電(dian)采(cai)(cai)暖(nuan)雖處于起步階段，但也(ye)占據(ju)了25%左右的(de)市場(chang)份(fen)(fen)額(e)，并且保(bao)持(chi)持(chi)續上(shang)升的(de)趨勢。

如(ru)今，全國各地針對電采(cai)暖紛紛出臺優惠政策(ce)(ce)，這從(cong)側面(mian)展現出了(le)電采(cai)暖的(de)(de)(de)巨(ju)大(da)潛(qian)力，也為碳纖維發熱(re)電纜的(de)(de)(de)發展提供(gong)了(le)無限的(de)(de)(de)可(ke)能性。就(jiu)目前(qian)各個集中供(gong)暖區域推(tui)出的(de)(de)(de)供(gong)暖政策(ce)(ce)來看，煤炭(tan)供(gong)熱(re)的(de)(de)(de)時代正(zheng)(zheng)在成為歷(li)史。而新型(xing)的(de)(de)(de)環保(bao)節(jie)能的(de)(de)(de)采(cai)暖方式正(zheng)(zheng)在占領(ling)市(shi)場，其中電采(cai)暖以(yi)其成熟的(de)(de)(de)行業體系和卓(zhuo)越的(de)(de)(de)供(gong)暖效果正(zheng)(zheng)在不斷受(shou)到(dao)重(zhong)視。這為正(zheng)(zheng)處于產能過(guo)剩的(de)(de)(de)電纜產業開辟了(le)一個新的(de)(de)(de)市(shi)場。