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日前，國網天(tian)(tian)(tian)津(jin)(jin)市(shi)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力公司提(ti)出的(de)“以電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)供熱”試點規劃，被寫(xie)入(ru)天(tian)(tian)(tian)津(jin)(jin)市(shi)政(zheng)府工(gong)(gong)(gong)作報(bao)告(gao)，預示著天(tian)(tian)(tian)津(jin)(jin)市(shi)加熱電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)纜(lan)的(de)需求量將(jiang)不斷提(ti)高。“推廣電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)能(neng)替代工(gong)(gong)(gong)程(cheng)，啟動以電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)供熱試點”被寫(xie)入(ru)天(tian)(tian)(tian)津(jin)(jin)市(shi)政(zheng)府工(gong)(gong)(gong)作報(bao)告(gao)，這(zhe)標志著天(tian)(tian)(tian)津(jin)(jin)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)能(neng)替代工(gong)(gong)(gong)作已(yi)進入(ru)政(zheng)府主導、系統推進的(de)新(xin)階段(duan)。

當前(qian)電能(neng)替代技術(shu)成(cheng)(cheng)熟(shu)，經濟(ji)優勢明顯(xian)，清(qing)潔環保已成(cheng)(cheng)為(wei)政(zheng)府(fu)和廣大(da)用戶的共識。一直以(yi)來，北方地區冬季供(gong)熱(re)取(qu)暖主要是采用燃(ran)煤(mei)鍋(guo)爐，造(zao)成(cheng)(cheng)嚴(yan)重大(da)氣污染。如果(guo)采取(qu)電能(neng)替代，以(yi)電能(neng)或太陽(yang)能(neng)代替燃(ran)煤(mei)蒸汽供(gong)熱(re)，不(bu)但供(gong)熱(re)成(cheng)(cheng)本大(da)幅度(du)降低，而且不(bu)會造(zao)成(cheng)(cheng)環境污染。

在有些專家(jia)看來(lai)，電(dian)(dian)能作(zuo)為清潔能源的(de)優勢凸顯，替(ti)代(dai)潛力(li)巨大。4月2日，國家(jia)電(dian)(dian)網(wang)公(gong)司召開了2015年電(dian)(dian)能替(ti)代(dai)工(gong)作(zuo)推(tui)進(jin)會，發布了《國家(jia)電(dian)(dian)網(wang)公(gong)司2015年全面深(shen)入推(tui)進(jin)電(dian)(dian)能替(ti)代(dai)行動計劃(hua)》，提出了確(que)保全年完成650億(yi)千(qian)瓦時、力(li)爭實(shi)現750億(yi)千(qian)瓦時替(ti)代(dai)電(dian)(dian)量。

據了解，今年國家電(dian)(dian)(dian)網公司將著(zhu)力鞏固擴大電(dian)(dian)(dian)窯爐、電(dian)(dian)(dian)鍋爐、熱(re)泵(beng)等(deng)成熟(shu)項目的實(shi)施(shi)范圍，因地(di)制宜拓展(zhan)新領域、推(tui)廣新技術(shu)，除在(zai)港口地(di)區推(tui)廣岸電(dian)(dian)(dian)替代(dai)(通過電(dian)(dian)(dian)纜將船舶用電(dian)(dian)(dian)與岸上電(dian)(dian)(dian)源(yuan)連接，在(zai)船舶靠岸期(qi)間采用陸地(di)電(dian)(dian)(dian)源(yuan)供(gong)電(dian)(dian)(dian))外，還(huan)將對居民(min)區、學校等(deng)用戶推(tui)廣碳晶(jing)、電(dian)(dian)(dian)熱(re)膜、發(fa)熱(re)電(dian)(dian)(dian)纜等(deng)技術(shu)，在(zai)企事業單位食堂推(tui)廣電(dian)(dian)(dian)磁灶、電(dian)(dian)(dian)蒸鍋，在(zai)油田(tian)推(tui)廣電(dian)(dian)(dian)動鉆機(ji)，在(zai)油氣輸(shu)送(song)管(guan)線推(tui)廣電(dian)(dian)(dian)力加壓等(deng)。

從消費端來看(kan)，各地(di)主要通(tong)過以電(dian)(dian)(dian)代煤(mei)、以電(dian)(dian)(dian)代油來促進節能減排(pai)。北京市(shi)(shi)城六區(qu)基本(ben)取消燃(ran)煤(mei)鍋爐(lu)，農村地(di)區(qu)新增減煤(mei)換煤(mei)120萬(wan)噸。河北省提出大幅壓減煤(mei)炭(tan)用量，實(shi)(shi)施煤(mei)電(dian)(dian)(dian)節能減排(pai)升級(ji)改造行(xing)動(dong)計劃(hua)。在歐美發達國(guo)家，電(dian)(dian)(dian)采暖(nuan)普及率非常高(gao)，美國(guo)80%的(de)城市(shi)(shi)實(shi)(shi)行(xing)電(dian)(dian)(dian)采暖(nuan)，加拿大、德(de)國(guo)、法國(guo)等電(dian)(dian)(dian)采暖(nuan)比例均在50%以上(shang)。

有(you)專家分析認為，國(guo)內(nei)大(da)力開展電(dian)能替(ti)代(dai)，能有(you)效緩解電(dian)纜產(chan)(chan)業(ye)(ye)產(chan)(chan)能過(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)剩帶來的(de)巨大(da)壓力。國(guo)內(nei)電(dian)線(xian)電(dian)纜行業(ye)(ye)產(chan)(chan)能過(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)剩以及設備過(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)剩是不(bu)(bu)(bu)爭的(de)事(shi)實，產(chan)(chan)能過(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)剩意(yi)(yi)味著供(gong)大(da)于(yu)求，意(yi)(yi)味著惡性競(jing)爭;而設備過(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)剩又反映出開工率不(bu)(bu)(bu)足(zu)。事(shi)實上，僅(jin)次于(yu)汽車制造業(ye)(ye)的(de)第(di)二大(da)產(chan)(chan)業(ye)(ye)電(dian)線(xian)電(dian)纜行業(ye)(ye)在贏得(de)“全球第(di)一”之(zhi)后，卻因(yin)蜂擁(yong)而上深陷“紅海”的(de)產(chan)(chan)能嚴重過(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)剩之(zhi)中。不(bu)(bu)(bu)足(zu)四成的(de)產(chan)(chan)能開工率還不(bu)(bu)(bu)到歐美同期一半，連續萎靡(mi)的(de)虧損(sun)包(bao)袱成為不(bu)(bu)(bu)少上市公司(si)不(bu)(bu)(bu)能承受之(zhi)重，欲剝離減負(fu)。

近(jin)來研發成功(gong)的(de)碳纖(xian)維(wei)加(jia)熱(re)(re)電(dian)纜(lan)，將加(jia)熱(re)(re)電(dian)纜(lan)系統的(de)應用推向了技術創新階段。推行“以電(dian)供熱(re)(re)”的(de)應用，廣泛(fan)涉及千(qian)家萬戶。例(li)如在住(zhu)宅內部，可實(shi)現墻壁(bi)、地板、空(kong)間(jian)加(jia)熱(re)(re)。其(qi)中，僅(jin)墻壁(bi)和(he)地板加(jia)熱(re)(re)系統，就需(xu)要大量(liang)加(jia)熱(re)(re)電(dian)纜(lan)。此外，根據外國經驗(yan)，道(dao)路和(he)機(ji)場(chang)融雪加(jia)熱(re)(re)，也普遍首選加(jia)熱(re)(re)電(dian)纜(lan)系統。

電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)采暖(nuan)相比(bi)燃(ran)煤(mei)采暖(nuan)優勢比(bi)較(jiao)明(ming)顯。當前，國內電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)(li)供(gong)需矛盾將日趨緩和(he)，2006年(nian)中國電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)(li)供(gong)需基本(ben)平衡。從2007年(nian)開始，一部分煤(mei)炭(tan)產地為降(jiang)低煤(mei)炭(tan)運輸(shu)成本(ben)，大力(li)(li)(li)發(fa)(fa)(fa)展火力(li)(li)(li)發(fa)(fa)(fa)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)，變煤(mei)炭(tan)運輸(shu)為電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)(li)輸(shu)送，并且國家正(zheng)在大力(li)(li)(li)發(fa)(fa)(fa)展風力(li)(li)(li)發(fa)(fa)(fa)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)、太陽(yang)能發(fa)(fa)(fa)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)、水力(li)(li)(li)發(fa)(fa)(fa)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)、核電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)等，電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)(li)已出現冬季過剩現象，這就為電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)采暖(nuan)提(ti)供(gong)了(le)足夠空間。

據(ju)(ju)相關統(tong)計數字表明，我國地面輻(fu)射(she)采暖市(shi)(shi)場在2010年底已(yi)達千億元，其中技術(shu)成熟的低溫熱(re)水輻(fu)射(she)采暖和散熱(re)片采暖占(zhan)據(ju)(ju)70%以上的市(shi)(shi)場份額。電采暖雖(sui)處于(yu)起步(bu)階段，但也占(zhan)據(ju)(ju)了25%左右的市(shi)(shi)場份額，并且保持持續上升的趨(qu)勢。

如(ru)今，全國(guo)各(ge)地針對電(dian)采(cai)暖(nuan)(nuan)(nuan)紛紛出臺優(you)惠政策，這從側面(mian)展(zhan)現出了電(dian)采(cai)暖(nuan)(nuan)(nuan)的(de)(de)(de)(de)巨(ju)大(da)潛力(li)，也為碳纖維發(fa)熱電(dian)纜的(de)(de)(de)(de)發(fa)展(zhan)提(ti)供了無限的(de)(de)(de)(de)可(ke)能性。就目(mu)前各(ge)個(ge)集中供暖(nuan)(nuan)(nuan)區域推(tui)出的(de)(de)(de)(de)供暖(nuan)(nuan)(nuan)政策來看，煤炭供熱的(de)(de)(de)(de)時代正(zheng)在(zai)成(cheng)為歷史。而(er)新(xin)型的(de)(de)(de)(de)環保節(jie)能的(de)(de)(de)(de)采(cai)暖(nuan)(nuan)(nuan)方式正(zheng)在(zai)占領市場，其中電(dian)采(cai)暖(nuan)(nuan)(nuan)以其成(cheng)熟的(de)(de)(de)(de)行業體系(xi)和(he)卓(zhuo)越的(de)(de)(de)(de)供暖(nuan)(nuan)(nuan)效果正(zheng)在(zai)不斷受到(dao)重視。這為正(zheng)處(chu)于產能過剩的(de)(de)(de)(de)電(dian)纜產業開辟了一個(ge)新(xin)的(de)(de)(de)(de)市場。