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日前，國網天津(jin)(jin)市電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力公司提(ti)出的“以電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)供熱(re)”試點(dian)規劃(hua)，被寫入(ru)天津(jin)(jin)市政府(fu)(fu)工作(zuo)(zuo)報告，預(yu)示著天津(jin)(jin)市加(jia)熱(re)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)纜的需(xu)求量將不斷(duan)提(ti)高。“推(tui)廣(guang)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)能(neng)替(ti)代工程，啟動以電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)供熱(re)試點(dian)”被寫入(ru)天津(jin)(jin)市政府(fu)(fu)工作(zuo)(zuo)報告，這標志(zhi)著天津(jin)(jin)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)能(neng)替(ti)代工作(zuo)(zuo)已進(jin)入(ru)政府(fu)(fu)主導、系統推(tui)進(jin)的新階(jie)段。

當前電能替(ti)代(dai)技術成(cheng)熟，經濟優勢明顯，清潔環(huan)保已成(cheng)為政府和(he)廣大(da)(da)用戶的共識(shi)。一(yi)直以來，北方地區(qu)冬(dong)季供(gong)熱(re)取暖主(zhu)要是采用燃煤(mei)鍋(guo)爐，造成(cheng)嚴重大(da)(da)氣污(wu)染(ran)。如果采取電能替(ti)代(dai)，以電能或太(tai)陽能代(dai)替(ti)燃煤(mei)蒸汽(qi)供(gong)熱(re)，不但供(gong)熱(re)成(cheng)本大(da)(da)幅度降(jiang)低(di)，而且不會(hui)造成(cheng)環(huan)境污(wu)染(ran)。

在有些專家看來，電(dian)能(neng)作為清潔能(neng)源的(de)優勢(shi)凸顯，替代潛力(li)巨大。4月2日，國家電(dian)網(wang)公(gong)司召開了(le)2015年電(dian)能(neng)替代工(gong)作推(tui)進會，發布(bu)了(le)《國家電(dian)網(wang)公(gong)司2015年全面深入推(tui)進電(dian)能(neng)替代行動計劃》，提出了(le)確保全年完(wan)成(cheng)650億千(qian)瓦時(shi)、力(li)爭實現750億千(qian)瓦時(shi)替代電(dian)量。

據了解，今(jin)年國家電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)網公(gong)司將(jiang)著力鞏(gong)固擴大(da)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)窯爐、電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)鍋爐、熱泵等成(cheng)熟項目的實施范圍(wei)，因地制宜拓展新領域、推(tui)廣新技術(shu)，除在(zai)(zai)港口地區(qu)(qu)推(tui)廣岸電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)替代(通過電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)纜將(jiang)船舶(bo)用電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)與岸上(shang)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)源(yuan)(yuan)連接，在(zai)(zai)船舶(bo)靠(kao)岸期間采用陸地電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)源(yuan)(yuan)供電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian))外，還(huan)將(jiang)對居民區(qu)(qu)、學校(xiao)等用戶(hu)推(tui)廣碳晶、電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)熱膜、發熱電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)纜等技術(shu)，在(zai)(zai)企事(shi)業單位食(shi)堂推(tui)廣電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)磁灶、電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)蒸(zheng)鍋，在(zai)(zai)油田推(tui)廣電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)動鉆機，在(zai)(zai)油氣輸送管線推(tui)廣電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力加壓等。

從消(xiao)費端來看，各(ge)地(di)主要通過以(yi)電(dian)(dian)代煤、以(yi)電(dian)(dian)代油來促進節能減(jian)排。北京(jing)市城(cheng)六區(qu)基本取消(xiao)燃煤鍋(guo)爐，農村地(di)區(qu)新增減(jian)煤換煤120萬噸(dun)。河(he)北省提出大幅(fu)壓減(jian)煤炭用量，實施煤電(dian)(dian)節能減(jian)排升級改造行動計劃。在(zai)歐美(mei)發達(da)國(guo)家，電(dian)(dian)采暖普及率非(fei)常(chang)高，美(mei)國(guo)80%的城(cheng)市實行電(dian)(dian)采暖，加(jia)拿(na)大、德國(guo)、法(fa)國(guo)等(deng)電(dian)(dian)采暖比例均在(zai)50%以(yi)上。

有專(zhuan)家(jia)分析認為，國(guo)內(nei)大(da)(da)力(li)開展電(dian)(dian)能(neng)(neng)替(ti)代，能(neng)(neng)有效緩解電(dian)(dian)纜產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)業(ye)產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)能(neng)(neng)過剩(sheng)(sheng)帶(dai)來(lai)的巨(ju)大(da)(da)壓力(li)。國(guo)內(nei)電(dian)(dian)線電(dian)(dian)纜行(xing)業(ye)產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)能(neng)(neng)過剩(sheng)(sheng)以(yi)及設備過剩(sheng)(sheng)是不(bu)(bu)爭的事實，產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)能(neng)(neng)過剩(sheng)(sheng)意味著(zhu)供大(da)(da)于(yu)(yu)求(qiu)，意味著(zhu)惡(e)性競爭;而設備過剩(sheng)(sheng)又反(fan)映出開工率(lv)不(bu)(bu)足(zu)。事實上(shang)，僅次于(yu)(yu)汽車制造業(ye)的第二大(da)(da)產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)業(ye)電(dian)(dian)線電(dian)(dian)纜行(xing)業(ye)在贏(ying)得“全球第一(yi)”之后，卻因蜂(feng)擁而上(shang)深陷“紅海(hai)”的產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)能(neng)(neng)嚴重(zhong)過剩(sheng)(sheng)之中。不(bu)(bu)足(zu)四(si)成(cheng)的產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)能(neng)(neng)開工率(lv)還不(bu)(bu)到歐美同(tong)期(qi)一(yi)半，連(lian)續萎(wei)靡(mi)的虧損(sun)包袱(fu)成(cheng)為不(bu)(bu)少上(shang)市公(gong)司不(bu)(bu)能(neng)(neng)承受之重(zhong)，欲(yu)剝(bo)離減負。

近來(lai)研發(fa)成(cheng)功的(de)碳纖維加(jia)熱(re)電纜(lan)(lan)，將加(jia)熱(re)電纜(lan)(lan)系統的(de)應用推向了技(ji)術創新(xin)階段。推行“以電供(gong)熱(re)”的(de)應用，廣(guang)泛(fan)涉(she)及千家萬(wan)戶(hu)。例如在住宅內部，可實(shi)現墻壁、地(di)板(ban)、空間加(jia)熱(re)。其中(zhong)，僅墻壁和地(di)板(ban)加(jia)熱(re)系統，就需要大(da)量加(jia)熱(re)電纜(lan)(lan)。此外(wai)，根據外(wai)國經驗(yan)，道路和機場融雪加(jia)熱(re)，也普遍首選加(jia)熱(re)電纜(lan)(lan)系統。

電(dian)(dian)(dian)采(cai)(cai)暖相比(bi)燃煤(mei)采(cai)(cai)暖優勢比(bi)較明(ming)顯(xian)。當前，國(guo)內電(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)供(gong)需矛(mao)盾將日趨緩和，2006年中國(guo)電(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)供(gong)需基本(ben)平衡(heng)。從2007年開始(shi)，一部(bu)分煤(mei)炭(tan)產地(di)為(wei)降(jiang)低(di)煤(mei)炭(tan)運輸成本(ben)，大力(li)發(fa)展火力(li)發(fa)電(dian)(dian)(dian)，變(bian)煤(mei)炭(tan)運輸為(wei)電(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)輸送，并且國(guo)家正在(zai)大力(li)發(fa)展風力(li)發(fa)電(dian)(dian)(dian)、太陽能發(fa)電(dian)(dian)(dian)、水力(li)發(fa)電(dian)(dian)(dian)、核電(dian)(dian)(dian)等，電(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)已出現(xian)冬季過剩現(xian)象，這就為(wei)電(dian)(dian)(dian)采(cai)(cai)暖提供(gong)了足夠空間。

據(ju)相關統計數字表明，我國地面輻射采(cai)暖市(shi)場在2010年底已(yi)達(da)千億元，其中技術成熟的(de)低溫熱(re)水輻射采(cai)暖和(he)散熱(re)片采(cai)暖占(zhan)據(ju)70%以上的(de)市(shi)場份額。電采(cai)暖雖處于起步階段，但也占(zhan)據(ju)了25%左右的(de)市(shi)場份額，并(bing)且(qie)保(bao)持持續上升(sheng)的(de)趨(qu)勢。

如(ru)今(jin)，全(quan)國各地針對電(dian)(dian)采(cai)暖(nuan)紛(fen)紛(fen)出臺優(you)惠政(zheng)策，這(zhe)從側面展現出了(le)電(dian)(dian)采(cai)暖(nuan)的(de)(de)(de)巨大(da)潛力，也為(wei)碳纖維發熱(re)電(dian)(dian)纜(lan)的(de)(de)(de)發展提(ti)供了(le)無限的(de)(de)(de)可能(neng)性。就(jiu)目前各個集中(zhong)供暖(nuan)區域(yu)推出的(de)(de)(de)供暖(nuan)政(zheng)策來看，煤炭供熱(re)的(de)(de)(de)時代正(zheng)在成為(wei)歷史(shi)。而新(xin)型的(de)(de)(de)環保節(jie)能(neng)的(de)(de)(de)采(cai)暖(nuan)方(fang)式正(zheng)在占(zhan)領市(shi)場，其(qi)中(zhong)電(dian)(dian)采(cai)暖(nuan)以其(qi)成熟(shu)的(de)(de)(de)行業(ye)體系和(he)卓越(yue)的(de)(de)(de)供暖(nuan)效果正(zheng)在不斷受到重視。這(zhe)為(wei)正(zheng)處于(yu)產(chan)能(neng)過(guo)剩的(de)(de)(de)電(dian)(dian)纜(lan)產(chan)業(ye)開辟了(le)一個新(xin)的(de)(de)(de)市(shi)場。