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日(ri)前，國網天(tian)(tian)津(jin)市電(dian)(dian)(dian)力公司提出的(de)“以電(dian)(dian)(dian)供(gong)熱(re)(re)”試(shi)點(dian)規劃，被寫入天(tian)(tian)津(jin)市政府(fu)(fu)工(gong)(gong)作(zuo)報(bao)告(gao)(gao)，預示(shi)著天(tian)(tian)津(jin)市加熱(re)(re)電(dian)(dian)(dian)纜(lan)的(de)需求(qiu)量將不斷提高。“推(tui)廣電(dian)(dian)(dian)能(neng)(neng)替代工(gong)(gong)程(cheng)，啟動以電(dian)(dian)(dian)供(gong)熱(re)(re)試(shi)點(dian)”被寫入天(tian)(tian)津(jin)市政府(fu)(fu)工(gong)(gong)作(zuo)報(bao)告(gao)(gao)，這(zhe)標志著天(tian)(tian)津(jin)電(dian)(dian)(dian)能(neng)(neng)替代工(gong)(gong)作(zuo)已進入政府(fu)(fu)主(zhu)導(dao)、系統推(tui)進的(de)新階段。

當(dang)前電能替代技術成熟，經濟(ji)優勢(shi)明顯，清潔環保已(yi)成為政府(fu)和廣大用(yong)戶的共(gong)識。一直以(yi)來(lai)，北方地(di)區冬(dong)季供熱取暖主要(yao)是采(cai)用(yong)燃煤(mei)(mei)鍋爐，造(zao)成嚴重大氣(qi)污(wu)染(ran)。如果采(cai)取電能替代，以(yi)電能或太陽能代替燃煤(mei)(mei)蒸汽供熱，不但供熱成本大幅度(du)降低(di)，而且不會造(zao)成環境污(wu)染(ran)。

在有(you)些專家看來(lai)，電(dian)(dian)能(neng)作為(wei)清潔能(neng)源的優勢凸顯，替(ti)代潛力巨大。4月2日，國家電(dian)(dian)網(wang)公(gong)司召(zhao)開了(le)2015年電(dian)(dian)能(neng)替(ti)代工(gong)作推進會，發(fa)布了(le)《國家電(dian)(dian)網(wang)公(gong)司2015年全面深入推進電(dian)(dian)能(neng)替(ti)代行動(dong)計(ji)劃(hua)》，提(ti)出了(le)確保(bao)全年完(wan)成650億(yi)千瓦(wa)時、力爭實現750億(yi)千瓦(wa)時替(ti)代電(dian)(dian)量。

據了解，今年國家電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)網(wang)公(gong)司(si)將著力(li)(li)鞏固擴大電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)窯爐、電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)鍋爐、熱泵(beng)等(deng)(deng)成熟項(xiang)目的實施范圍，因地制宜拓展新領域、推廣(guang)(guang)(guang)新技術，除在港(gang)口地區(qu)推廣(guang)(guang)(guang)岸電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)替代(通(tong)過電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)纜將船舶用電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)與(yu)岸上(shang)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)源(yuan)連接(jie)，在船舶靠(kao)岸期間采用陸地電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)源(yuan)供(gong)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian))外，還將對(dui)居(ju)民區(qu)、學校等(deng)(deng)用戶推廣(guang)(guang)(guang)碳(tan)晶、電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)熱膜、發(fa)熱電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)纜等(deng)(deng)技術，在企事(shi)業單(dan)位食(shi)堂推廣(guang)(guang)(guang)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)磁灶、電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)蒸鍋，在油(you)田推廣(guang)(guang)(guang)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)動鉆機，在油(you)氣輸送管線推廣(guang)(guang)(guang)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)加壓等(deng)(deng)。

從消費(fei)端來(lai)看(kan)，各地主要通(tong)過以電(dian)(dian)代煤、以電(dian)(dian)代油來(lai)促進(jin)節能(neng)減排(pai)。北京市(shi)城(cheng)六區基本(ben)取消燃煤鍋爐，農村地區新增減煤換(huan)煤120萬噸。河北省提出大幅壓減煤炭用(yong)量(liang)，實(shi)施煤電(dian)(dian)節能(neng)減排(pai)升級改造行(xing)動計劃。在歐美發達國家，電(dian)(dian)采暖普及(ji)率非常高，美國80%的(de)城(cheng)市(shi)實(shi)行(xing)電(dian)(dian)采暖，加(jia)拿大、德(de)國、法國等電(dian)(dian)采暖比例均在50%以上。

有專家分析(xi)認為，國(guo)內大(da)力(li)開展電(dian)(dian)(dian)能(neng)(neng)(neng)替(ti)代，能(neng)(neng)(neng)有效緩解電(dian)(dian)(dian)纜(lan)(lan)產業(ye)(ye)產能(neng)(neng)(neng)過剩(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)帶來的巨(ju)大(da)壓力(li)。國(guo)內電(dian)(dian)(dian)線電(dian)(dian)(dian)纜(lan)(lan)行(xing)業(ye)(ye)產能(neng)(neng)(neng)過剩(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)以及設備(bei)過剩(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)是不(bu)(bu)爭的事(shi)實，產能(neng)(neng)(neng)過剩(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)意味著(zhu)供大(da)于(yu)求，意味著(zhu)惡性競(jing)爭;而設備(bei)過剩(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)又反映出(chu)開工(gong)率(lv)不(bu)(bu)足(zu)。事(shi)實上(shang)，僅次(ci)于(yu)汽車制造業(ye)(ye)的第二(er)大(da)產業(ye)(ye)電(dian)(dian)(dian)線電(dian)(dian)(dian)纜(lan)(lan)行(xing)業(ye)(ye)在贏得“全球第一”之(zhi)(zhi)后(hou)，卻因蜂擁而上(shang)深陷“紅海”的產能(neng)(neng)(neng)嚴重(zhong)過剩(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)之(zhi)(zhi)中。不(bu)(bu)足(zu)四成的產能(neng)(neng)(neng)開工(gong)率(lv)還(huan)不(bu)(bu)到歐美(mei)同期一半，連(lian)續萎靡的虧損包袱成為不(bu)(bu)少上(shang)市公司不(bu)(bu)能(neng)(neng)(neng)承受之(zhi)(zhi)重(zhong)，欲剝(bo)離(li)減負。

近(jin)來研發成功的(de)碳纖(xian)維加(jia)熱(re)(re)(re)電(dian)(dian)(dian)纜(lan)，將(jiang)加(jia)熱(re)(re)(re)電(dian)(dian)(dian)纜(lan)系(xi)(xi)統(tong)的(de)應用(yong)推向了技術創(chuang)新階段。推行“以電(dian)(dian)(dian)供(gong)熱(re)(re)(re)”的(de)應用(yong)，廣(guang)泛涉及(ji)千家萬戶。例(li)如在住宅內部，可實現墻(qiang)壁、地(di)板(ban)、空(kong)間加(jia)熱(re)(re)(re)。其中，僅墻(qiang)壁和地(di)板(ban)加(jia)熱(re)(re)(re)系(xi)(xi)統(tong)，就需要大(da)量加(jia)熱(re)(re)(re)電(dian)(dian)(dian)纜(lan)。此外，根據外國(guo)經(jing)驗，道(dao)路和機(ji)場融雪加(jia)熱(re)(re)(re)，也(ye)普遍首選(xuan)加(jia)熱(re)(re)(re)電(dian)(dian)(dian)纜(lan)系(xi)(xi)統(tong)。

電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)采暖相比(bi)燃煤采暖優勢比(bi)較明顯(xian)。當(dang)前(qian)，國內電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)供需矛盾將(jiang)日(ri)趨緩和，2006年中(zhong)國電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)供需基本平衡。從(cong)2007年開始，一部分煤炭產地為降低煤炭運輸(shu)成本，大力(li)發(fa)(fa)展火力(li)發(fa)(fa)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)，變煤炭運輸(shu)為電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)輸(shu)送，并且(qie)國家正在大力(li)發(fa)(fa)展風力(li)發(fa)(fa)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)、太陽能(neng)發(fa)(fa)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)、水力(li)發(fa)(fa)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)、核電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)等(deng)，電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)已出現冬(dong)季過剩現象(xiang)，這(zhe)就(jiu)為電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)采暖提供了足夠空間(jian)。

據相關統計(ji)數字表明(ming)，我國地面輻(fu)射(she)采(cai)暖市(shi)場在2010年底已達千億元(yuan)，其中技術成(cheng)熟的(de)(de)低溫熱水輻(fu)射(she)采(cai)暖和散(san)熱片采(cai)暖占據70%以上的(de)(de)市(shi)場份額。電采(cai)暖雖處(chu)于(yu)起步階段，但也占據了25%左右(you)的(de)(de)市(shi)場份額，并且保持持續上升(sheng)的(de)(de)趨勢。

如今，全國各地針對電(dian)(dian)采暖(nuan)(nuan)紛(fen)紛(fen)出(chu)(chu)臺(tai)優(you)惠(hui)政(zheng)策，這從側面展現出(chu)(chu)了(le)(le)電(dian)(dian)采暖(nuan)(nuan)的(de)巨大潛力，也為(wei)碳纖(xian)維發熱電(dian)(dian)纜(lan)的(de)發展提供(gong)了(le)(le)無限的(de)可能(neng)性。就目前各個集中供(gong)暖(nuan)(nuan)區域推出(chu)(chu)的(de)供(gong)暖(nuan)(nuan)政(zheng)策來看，煤炭(tan)供(gong)熱的(de)時代正(zheng)在(zai)成(cheng)為(wei)歷史。而新型的(de)環保節能(neng)的(de)采暖(nuan)(nuan)方式(shi)正(zheng)在(zai)占領市(shi)場，其中電(dian)(dian)采暖(nuan)(nuan)以其成(cheng)熟的(de)行業體系(xi)和卓越的(de)供(gong)暖(nuan)(nuan)效果正(zheng)在(zai)不斷受到重(zhong)視。這為(wei)正(zheng)處于產能(neng)過剩的(de)電(dian)(dian)纜(lan)產業開辟(pi)了(le)(le)一個新的(de)市(shi)場。