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日前，國網天(tian)(tian)津(jin)市電力公(gong)司提出(chu)的“以電供熱”試點(dian)規劃，被(bei)寫入天(tian)(tian)津(jin)市政(zheng)府工(gong)作報告，預示著(zhu)天(tian)(tian)津(jin)市加熱電纜的需求量將不斷提高。“推廣電能(neng)替代(dai)工(gong)程，啟動(dong)以電供熱試點(dian)”被(bei)寫入天(tian)(tian)津(jin)市政(zheng)府工(gong)作報告，這標志著(zhu)天(tian)(tian)津(jin)電能(neng)替代(dai)工(gong)作已進入政(zheng)府主導(dao)、系(xi)統推進的新階段。

當前電能替(ti)代(dai)技術成熟，經濟(ji)優勢明(ming)顯，清潔環(huan)保(bao)已成為政府和廣大(da)用戶的共識。一直以(yi)來(lai)，北方地區冬季供(gong)熱(re)取暖主要是(shi)采(cai)用燃煤鍋爐，造(zao)成嚴重大(da)氣污(wu)(wu)染(ran)。如果(guo)采(cai)取電能替(ti)代(dai)，以(yi)電能或(huo)太陽能代(dai)替(ti)燃煤蒸汽供(gong)熱(re)，不但(dan)供(gong)熱(re)成本大(da)幅度降低，而且不會造(zao)成環(huan)境污(wu)(wu)染(ran)。

在有些專家(jia)看來，電(dian)(dian)能(neng)作為清潔能(neng)源的優(you)勢凸顯，替(ti)(ti)代潛力巨大。4月2日，國家(jia)電(dian)(dian)網(wang)公(gong)司召開了(le)(le)2015年電(dian)(dian)能(neng)替(ti)(ti)代工作推(tui)進(jin)(jin)會，發布(bu)了(le)(le)《國家(jia)電(dian)(dian)網(wang)公(gong)司2015年全面(mian)深入(ru)推(tui)進(jin)(jin)電(dian)(dian)能(neng)替(ti)(ti)代行動計劃》，提(ti)出了(le)(le)確保全年完(wan)成650億千瓦時、力爭實現750億千瓦時替(ti)(ti)代電(dian)(dian)量。

據了解(jie)，今年國家電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)網公(gong)司將著力(li)鞏固擴大電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)窯爐(lu)、電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)鍋爐(lu)、熱(re)泵等成(cheng)熟項目的實施范圍，因地(di)制宜(yi)拓展新領域、推(tui)(tui)(tui)廣新技術，除在港口(kou)地(di)區推(tui)(tui)(tui)廣岸電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)替代(dai)(通(tong)過電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)纜(lan)將船舶用電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)與岸上電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)源連接，在船舶靠岸期(qi)間(jian)采用陸地(di)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)源供電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian))外，還將對居民區、學校(xiao)等用戶推(tui)(tui)(tui)廣碳晶、電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)熱(re)膜、發熱(re)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)纜(lan)等技術，在企事業單位食(shi)堂推(tui)(tui)(tui)廣電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)磁灶、電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)蒸鍋，在油田推(tui)(tui)(tui)廣電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)動(dong)鉆機，在油氣輸送(song)管線(xian)推(tui)(tui)(tui)廣電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)加壓(ya)等。

從消費端來看，各地主(zhu)要通(tong)過以(yi)電(dian)代煤(mei)(mei)、以(yi)電(dian)代油(you)來促進節能減排。北(bei)(bei)京市城六區基本取(qu)消燃煤(mei)(mei)鍋爐，農村(cun)地區新增(zeng)減煤(mei)(mei)換煤(mei)(mei)120萬(wan)噸。河北(bei)(bei)省提出大幅壓(ya)減煤(mei)(mei)炭用(yong)量，實施煤(mei)(mei)電(dian)節能減排升(sheng)級改造行動計劃。在(zai)歐美(mei)發達(da)國(guo)家，電(dian)采暖普及率非常高，美(mei)國(guo)80%的城市實行電(dian)采暖，加拿大、德國(guo)、法國(guo)等電(dian)采暖比例(li)均在(zai)50%以(yi)上(shang)。

有專家分析認為，國內大力(li)開(kai)(kai)展電(dian)能(neng)替代，能(neng)有效緩(huan)解電(dian)纜產(chan)(chan)業(ye)(ye)產(chan)(chan)能(neng)過剩(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)帶來的(de)(de)(de)巨大壓(ya)力(li)。國內電(dian)線(xian)電(dian)纜行業(ye)(ye)產(chan)(chan)能(neng)過剩(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)以(yi)及設備(bei)過剩(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)是(shi)不(bu)(bu)(bu)爭(zheng)的(de)(de)(de)事實(shi)(shi)，產(chan)(chan)能(neng)過剩(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)意味著(zhu)(zhu)供大于(yu)求，意味著(zhu)(zhu)惡性競爭(zheng);而設備(bei)過剩(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)又反映出開(kai)(kai)工(gong)率不(bu)(bu)(bu)足。事實(shi)(shi)上，僅次于(yu)汽車制造業(ye)(ye)的(de)(de)(de)第(di)二大產(chan)(chan)業(ye)(ye)電(dian)線(xian)電(dian)纜行業(ye)(ye)在贏得“全球第(di)一”之(zhi)后，卻因蜂擁(yong)而上深(shen)陷(xian)“紅(hong)海”的(de)(de)(de)產(chan)(chan)能(neng)嚴(yan)重過剩(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)之(zhi)中(zhong)。不(bu)(bu)(bu)足四成(cheng)的(de)(de)(de)產(chan)(chan)能(neng)開(kai)(kai)工(gong)率還不(bu)(bu)(bu)到歐美(mei)同期一半(ban)，連(lian)續萎靡的(de)(de)(de)虧損包袱成(cheng)為不(bu)(bu)(bu)少上市公司不(bu)(bu)(bu)能(neng)承(cheng)受之(zhi)重，欲剝離(li)減負(fu)。

近(jin)來研發成功的(de)碳纖維(wei)加(jia)(jia)(jia)熱(re)(re)(re)電(dian)(dian)纜(lan)，將(jiang)加(jia)(jia)(jia)熱(re)(re)(re)電(dian)(dian)纜(lan)系統(tong)的(de)應用(yong)推向了技術(shu)創新階(jie)段。推行“以電(dian)(dian)供熱(re)(re)(re)”的(de)應用(yong)，廣(guang)泛涉(she)及千(qian)家萬(wan)戶。例如在住(zhu)宅(zhai)內部，可實現墻(qiang)壁、地(di)板、空間(jian)加(jia)(jia)(jia)熱(re)(re)(re)。其中，僅墻(qiang)壁和地(di)板加(jia)(jia)(jia)熱(re)(re)(re)系統(tong)，就需要大量(liang)加(jia)(jia)(jia)熱(re)(re)(re)電(dian)(dian)纜(lan)。此外(wai)，根據外(wai)國經(jing)驗，道路(lu)和機場(chang)融雪加(jia)(jia)(jia)熱(re)(re)(re)，也普遍首選加(jia)(jia)(jia)熱(re)(re)(re)電(dian)(dian)纜(lan)系統(tong)。

電采暖(nuan)(nuan)相(xiang)比燃煤(mei)采暖(nuan)(nuan)優(you)勢比較明顯。當前，國內(nei)電力(li)(li)(li)供(gong)需(xu)矛(mao)盾將日趨緩和，2006年(nian)中國電力(li)(li)(li)供(gong)需(xu)基(ji)本(ben)平衡。從2007年(nian)開(kai)始，一部(bu)分煤(mei)炭產地為降低煤(mei)炭運輸(shu)成本(ben)，大力(li)(li)(li)發(fa)展(zhan)(zhan)火力(li)(li)(li)發(fa)電，變煤(mei)炭運輸(shu)為電力(li)(li)(li)輸(shu)送，并且國家(jia)正在大力(li)(li)(li)發(fa)展(zhan)(zhan)風力(li)(li)(li)發(fa)電、太陽能發(fa)電、水力(li)(li)(li)發(fa)電、核(he)電等，電力(li)(li)(li)已出現冬季(ji)過剩現象，這就為電采暖(nuan)(nuan)提供(gong)了(le)足夠空間。

據(ju)相關統計數字表明，我國地面輻(fu)射采暖(nuan)市(shi)場(chang)在(zai)2010年底(di)已(yi)達千(qian)億元，其(qi)中技(ji)術成熟(shu)的低(di)溫熱(re)水輻(fu)射采暖(nuan)和散熱(re)片采暖(nuan)占據(ju)70%以(yi)上(shang)的市(shi)場(chang)份額。電(dian)采暖(nuan)雖處于起(qi)步階段，但也占據(ju)了(le)25%左右的市(shi)場(chang)份額，并且保(bao)持持續上(shang)升(sheng)的趨勢(shi)。

如今，全國各(ge)地針(zhen)對電(dian)采暖紛(fen)紛(fen)出臺優惠政策，這從側面展現出了電(dian)采暖的(de)巨大(da)潛力，也為碳纖維發熱電(dian)纜的(de)發展提(ti)供(gong)了無限(xian)的(de)可能(neng)性。就目前各(ge)個集中供(gong)暖區域推出的(de)供(gong)暖政策來看(kan)，煤炭供(gong)熱的(de)時(shi)代正(zheng)(zheng)在(zai)成(cheng)(cheng)為歷史(shi)。而新型的(de)環保節能(neng)的(de)采暖方式正(zheng)(zheng)在(zai)占領市場(chang)，其中電(dian)采暖以其成(cheng)(cheng)熟(shu)的(de)行業體系和卓越的(de)供(gong)暖效(xiao)果正(zheng)(zheng)在(zai)不斷(duan)受到重視。這為正(zheng)(zheng)處于產能(neng)過剩(sheng)的(de)電(dian)纜產業開辟了一個新的(de)市場(chang)。