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日前，國網天(tian)津(jin)市電(dian)(dian)力公司提出的“以電(dian)(dian)供(gong)熱(re)”試點(dian)(dian)規劃，被寫入天(tian)津(jin)市政(zheng)(zheng)府(fu)工(gong)作(zuo)報告(gao)，預(yu)示著(zhu)天(tian)津(jin)市加熱(re)電(dian)(dian)纜的需求量將(jiang)不斷(duan)提高(gao)。“推廣(guang)電(dian)(dian)能替(ti)代(dai)工(gong)程，啟動以電(dian)(dian)供(gong)熱(re)試點(dian)(dian)”被寫入天(tian)津(jin)市政(zheng)(zheng)府(fu)工(gong)作(zuo)報告(gao)，這標志著(zhu)天(tian)津(jin)電(dian)(dian)能替(ti)代(dai)工(gong)作(zuo)已進入政(zheng)(zheng)府(fu)主導、系統推進的新(xin)階(jie)段。

當前電(dian)能(neng)(neng)替(ti)代(dai)技術成熟(shu)，經濟優勢明(ming)顯(xian)，清潔環保已(yi)成為政(zheng)府和廣大(da)用戶的(de)共(gong)識。一直以(yi)來(lai)，北(bei)方地區冬(dong)季供熱(re)取暖主(zhu)要是(shi)采用燃(ran)煤鍋(guo)爐，造成嚴重大(da)氣污染。如果采取電(dian)能(neng)(neng)替(ti)代(dai)，以(yi)電(dian)能(neng)(neng)或(huo)太陽能(neng)(neng)代(dai)替(ti)燃(ran)煤蒸汽供熱(re)，不(bu)(bu)但供熱(re)成本(ben)大(da)幅度降低，而且不(bu)(bu)會造成環境污染。

在(zai)有些專家看來(lai)，電(dian)能作為(wei)清潔(jie)能源的(de)優勢凸顯，替代(dai)潛力(li)(li)巨大。4月2日，國家電(dian)網(wang)公(gong)司(si)召開(kai)了2015年電(dian)能替代(dai)工作推進會，發布了《國家電(dian)網(wang)公(gong)司(si)2015年全面深入推進電(dian)能替代(dai)行(xing)動計劃》，提出了確保(bao)全年完成650億千(qian)瓦時(shi)、力(li)(li)爭實現750億千(qian)瓦時(shi)替代(dai)電(dian)量。

據了解，今年(nian)國家電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)網公司將著力鞏固擴大電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)窯爐(lu)、電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)鍋爐(lu)、熱(re)(re)(re)泵等(deng)成熟項目(mu)的實施范圍，因地(di)(di)制宜拓展新領域、推廣新技術，除(chu)在港口地(di)(di)區(qu)推廣岸電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)替代(通(tong)過(guo)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)纜(lan)將船(chuan)舶用電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)與岸上電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)源連接，在船(chuan)舶靠岸期間(jian)采(cai)用陸地(di)(di)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)源供電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian))外，還將對居(ju)民區(qu)、學校等(deng)用戶推廣碳晶、電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)熱(re)(re)(re)膜(mo)、發熱(re)(re)(re)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)纜(lan)等(deng)技術，在企事(shi)業單位食堂(tang)推廣電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)磁灶、電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)蒸鍋，在油(you)田推廣電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)動鉆機，在油(you)氣輸送管線推廣電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力加壓等(deng)。

從消費端(duan)來看，各地主要(yao)通(tong)過以電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)代(dai)煤(mei)、以電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)代(dai)油來促進節(jie)能(neng)減(jian)(jian)(jian)排(pai)。北(bei)京市城六(liu)區(qu)基本取消燃煤(mei)鍋(guo)爐，農村地區(qu)新增減(jian)(jian)(jian)煤(mei)換煤(mei)120萬噸。河北(bei)省提出(chu)大(da)幅壓減(jian)(jian)(jian)煤(mei)炭用(yong)量，實施煤(mei)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)節(jie)能(neng)減(jian)(jian)(jian)排(pai)升級改造行(xing)動計劃。在歐美發達國家，電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)采暖普(pu)及率非常高，美國80%的城市實行(xing)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)采暖，加拿大(da)、德國、法國等電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)采暖比例均(jun)在50%以上。

有(you)(you)專家分析(xi)認為，國(guo)(guo)內大(da)力開(kai)(kai)展(zhan)電(dian)(dian)(dian)能替代，能有(you)(you)效緩(huan)解電(dian)(dian)(dian)纜產(chan)(chan)(chan)業(ye)產(chan)(chan)(chan)能過(guo)剩帶來的(de)(de)巨大(da)壓力。國(guo)(guo)內電(dian)(dian)(dian)線電(dian)(dian)(dian)纜行(xing)業(ye)產(chan)(chan)(chan)能過(guo)剩以及設備(bei)過(guo)剩是不(bu)(bu)爭(zheng)的(de)(de)事實，產(chan)(chan)(chan)能過(guo)剩意味(wei)著(zhu)供大(da)于求，意味(wei)著(zhu)惡(e)性(xing)競爭(zheng);而設備(bei)過(guo)剩又反映出開(kai)(kai)工(gong)率(lv)不(bu)(bu)足(zu)。事實上，僅次于汽車制造業(ye)的(de)(de)第二大(da)產(chan)(chan)(chan)業(ye)電(dian)(dian)(dian)線電(dian)(dian)(dian)纜行(xing)業(ye)在贏(ying)得“全球第一”之(zhi)后(hou)，卻因蜂擁(yong)而上深陷“紅(hong)海”的(de)(de)產(chan)(chan)(chan)能嚴重(zhong)過(guo)剩之(zhi)中。不(bu)(bu)足(zu)四成的(de)(de)產(chan)(chan)(chan)能開(kai)(kai)工(gong)率(lv)還不(bu)(bu)到(dao)歐美同期一半(ban)，連(lian)續萎靡的(de)(de)虧損包袱(fu)成為不(bu)(bu)少上市公司不(bu)(bu)能承受之(zhi)重(zhong)，欲剝離減負(fu)。

近來研(yan)發(fa)成功的碳纖維加(jia)(jia)熱(re)電(dian)(dian)纜(lan)，將加(jia)(jia)熱(re)電(dian)(dian)纜(lan)系統的應用(yong)推向了(le)技術創(chuang)新階段(duan)。推行“以電(dian)(dian)供熱(re)”的應用(yong)，廣泛涉及(ji)千家萬戶。例如在住宅內部，可(ke)實(shi)現墻壁(bi)、地(di)板(ban)、空間加(jia)(jia)熱(re)。其中，僅墻壁(bi)和地(di)板(ban)加(jia)(jia)熱(re)系統，就需要大量加(jia)(jia)熱(re)電(dian)(dian)纜(lan)。此外(wai)，根據(ju)外(wai)國經驗，道路和機(ji)場融雪加(jia)(jia)熱(re)，也(ye)普遍(bian)首選加(jia)(jia)熱(re)電(dian)(dian)纜(lan)系統。

電(dian)采暖(nuan)(nuan)相比(bi)燃煤(mei)采暖(nuan)(nuan)優勢比(bi)較明顯。當前，國(guo)內(nei)電(dian)力(li)(li)供需矛盾(dun)將日趨(qu)緩和，2006年中國(guo)電(dian)力(li)(li)供需基(ji)本(ben)(ben)平衡。從2007年開(kai)始，一部分煤(mei)炭(tan)產地為降低(di)煤(mei)炭(tan)運(yun)輸(shu)(shu)成(cheng)本(ben)(ben)，大力(li)(li)發(fa)展火力(li)(li)發(fa)電(dian)，變煤(mei)炭(tan)運(yun)輸(shu)(shu)為電(dian)力(li)(li)輸(shu)(shu)送，并且(qie)國(guo)家正在(zai)大力(li)(li)發(fa)展風力(li)(li)發(fa)電(dian)、太陽能發(fa)電(dian)、水力(li)(li)發(fa)電(dian)、核(he)電(dian)等(deng)，電(dian)力(li)(li)已出現冬季(ji)過剩現象，這(zhe)就為電(dian)采暖(nuan)(nuan)提供了足(zu)夠(gou)空間。

據相關(guan)統計(ji)數字表明，我國地面輻射采(cai)暖市場(chang)在2010年底已達千億(yi)元，其(qi)中技(ji)術(shu)成熟的(de)低溫熱水輻射采(cai)暖和散熱片采(cai)暖占據70%以上的(de)市場(chang)份額(e)。電采(cai)暖雖處(chu)于(yu)起步階(jie)段，但也(ye)占據了25%左右的(de)市場(chang)份額(e)，并且保(bao)持(chi)持(chi)續上升的(de)趨勢。

如今，全國各地針對電采(cai)暖(nuan)(nuan)紛紛出臺優(you)惠(hui)政策，這(zhe)從側面展現出了電采(cai)暖(nuan)(nuan)的(de)(de)巨大潛力，也(ye)為(wei)碳(tan)纖維發(fa)熱電纜的(de)(de)發(fa)展提供(gong)(gong)了無限的(de)(de)可能性。就目前各個集(ji)中供(gong)(gong)暖(nuan)(nuan)區(qu)域推(tui)出的(de)(de)供(gong)(gong)暖(nuan)(nuan)政策來看，煤炭(tan)供(gong)(gong)熱的(de)(de)時代正(zheng)在成為(wei)歷史。而新型(xing)的(de)(de)環保節能的(de)(de)采(cai)暖(nuan)(nuan)方式正(zheng)在占領市場，其(qi)中電采(cai)暖(nuan)(nuan)以其(qi)成熟的(de)(de)行業體系和卓越(yue)的(de)(de)供(gong)(gong)暖(nuan)(nuan)效果正(zheng)在不斷受到重(zhong)視。這(zhe)為(wei)正(zheng)處于產能過(guo)剩(sheng)的(de)(de)電纜產業開(kai)辟了一個新的(de)(de)市場。