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日前，國(guo)網天(tian)津(jin)市(shi)(shi)電(dian)力(li)公司提(ti)(ti)出的“以電(dian)供(gong)熱”試(shi)點規劃(hua)，被(bei)寫入(ru)天(tian)津(jin)市(shi)(shi)政(zheng)府(fu)(fu)工作報(bao)(bao)告，預示著(zhu)天(tian)津(jin)市(shi)(shi)加熱電(dian)纜(lan)的需求量將(jiang)不斷(duan)提(ti)(ti)高。“推廣電(dian)能替代工程，啟動以電(dian)供(gong)熱試(shi)點”被(bei)寫入(ru)天(tian)津(jin)市(shi)(shi)政(zheng)府(fu)(fu)工作報(bao)(bao)告，這標(biao)志著(zhu)天(tian)津(jin)電(dian)能替代工作已(yi)進入(ru)政(zheng)府(fu)(fu)主(zhu)導、系統推進的新階段。

當前電能(neng)替代(dai)技術成(cheng)熟，經濟優勢明顯，清潔(jie)環保(bao)已成(cheng)為政府(fu)和廣大(da)用戶(hu)的共識(shi)。一(yi)直以(yi)來，北方地區冬季(ji)供(gong)(gong)熱(re)(re)取(qu)暖主要是采(cai)用燃(ran)煤(mei)鍋爐，造成(cheng)嚴重大(da)氣污(wu)(wu)染(ran)。如果采(cai)取(qu)電能(neng)替代(dai)，以(yi)電能(neng)或(huo)太陽能(neng)代(dai)替燃(ran)煤(mei)蒸汽供(gong)(gong)熱(re)(re)，不但供(gong)(gong)熱(re)(re)成(cheng)本大(da)幅(fu)度降低，而且(qie)不會造成(cheng)環境污(wu)(wu)染(ran)。

在有些專家(jia)看(kan)來(lai)，電(dian)能(neng)作(zuo)為清(qing)潔能(neng)源的優勢凸顯，替(ti)代(dai)(dai)潛力巨大。4月2日(ri)，國家(jia)電(dian)網公(gong)司(si)召開(kai)了2015年(nian)電(dian)能(neng)替(ti)代(dai)(dai)工(gong)作(zuo)推進(jin)會，發(fa)布了《國家(jia)電(dian)網公(gong)司(si)2015年(nian)全面深入推進(jin)電(dian)能(neng)替(ti)代(dai)(dai)行動計劃》，提出了確(que)保全年(nian)完成650億千瓦時(shi)、力爭實現750億千瓦時(shi)替(ti)代(dai)(dai)電(dian)量。

據了解，今年國家(jia)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)網公司將(jiang)著力鞏固擴大電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)窯爐、電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)鍋(guo)爐、熱泵等成熟(shu)項(xiang)目的實施范圍，因地(di)制宜拓展新領域、推(tui)(tui)廣(guang)(guang)新技(ji)(ji)術，除在(zai)港口地(di)區(qu)推(tui)(tui)廣(guang)(guang)岸(an)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)替代(通過(guo)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)纜(lan)(lan)將(jiang)船(chuan)舶用(yong)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)與(yu)岸(an)上電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)源(yuan)連接(jie)，在(zai)船(chuan)舶靠岸(an)期間(jian)采用(yong)陸地(di)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)源(yuan)供(gong)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian))外，還(huan)將(jiang)對居民(min)區(qu)、學(xue)校等用(yong)戶推(tui)(tui)廣(guang)(guang)碳(tan)晶、電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)熱膜、發(fa)熱電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)纜(lan)(lan)等技(ji)(ji)術，在(zai)企事業單位食堂推(tui)(tui)廣(guang)(guang)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)磁灶、電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)蒸(zheng)鍋(guo)，在(zai)油田推(tui)(tui)廣(guang)(guang)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)動鉆(zhan)機，在(zai)油氣(qi)輸送管線推(tui)(tui)廣(guang)(guang)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力加壓等。

從消費端來(lai)看(kan)，各地主要通過以電(dian)(dian)代(dai)煤(mei)、以電(dian)(dian)代(dai)油來(lai)促(cu)進節(jie)能(neng)減(jian)排(pai)。北(bei)京市城(cheng)(cheng)六區(qu)基本取消燃(ran)煤(mei)鍋爐，農(nong)村地區(qu)新(xin)增減(jian)煤(mei)換煤(mei)120萬噸。河北(bei)省提出大幅壓減(jian)煤(mei)炭用量(liang)，實(shi)施(shi)煤(mei)電(dian)(dian)節(jie)能(neng)減(jian)排(pai)升級改(gai)造行(xing)動(dong)計劃。在歐(ou)美(mei)發(fa)達國家，電(dian)(dian)采(cai)暖普及率非常高，美(mei)國80%的城(cheng)(cheng)市實(shi)行(xing)電(dian)(dian)采(cai)暖，加(jia)拿大、德國、法國等(deng)電(dian)(dian)采(cai)暖比(bi)例均在50%以上(shang)。

有專家(jia)分析認為(wei)，國內大力開(kai)(kai)展電(dian)能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)替代(dai)，能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)有效緩解電(dian)纜(lan)產(chan)(chan)業產(chan)(chan)能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)過(guo)(guo)剩(sheng)帶來的(de)巨大壓力。國內電(dian)線電(dian)纜(lan)行業產(chan)(chan)能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)過(guo)(guo)剩(sheng)以及設備(bei)過(guo)(guo)剩(sheng)是不(bu)(bu)爭的(de)事(shi)實(shi)，產(chan)(chan)能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)過(guo)(guo)剩(sheng)意味著供大于求，意味著惡性競爭;而(er)設備(bei)過(guo)(guo)剩(sheng)又反映出開(kai)(kai)工(gong)率不(bu)(bu)足(zu)(zu)。事(shi)實(shi)上(shang)，僅次于汽車(che)制(zhi)造業的(de)第二大產(chan)(chan)業電(dian)線電(dian)纜(lan)行業在(zai)贏得“全球第一”之后，卻因蜂(feng)擁而(er)上(shang)深陷“紅海”的(de)產(chan)(chan)能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)嚴重過(guo)(guo)剩(sheng)之中(zhong)。不(bu)(bu)足(zu)(zu)四成(cheng)的(de)產(chan)(chan)能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)開(kai)(kai)工(gong)率還不(bu)(bu)到歐美同(tong)期一半，連(lian)續萎(wei)靡(mi)的(de)虧損包袱成(cheng)為(wei)不(bu)(bu)少上(shang)市公司不(bu)(bu)能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)承受之重，欲剝離減負。

近來(lai)研發成功的(de)碳纖維加(jia)(jia)熱(re)電纜，將加(jia)(jia)熱(re)電纜系統的(de)應用(yong)推向了技術(shu)創新階段。推行“以電供熱(re)”的(de)應用(yong)，廣泛(fan)涉及(ji)千家(jia)萬戶。例如在住宅內部，可實現(xian)墻(qiang)壁、地(di)板(ban)、空間加(jia)(jia)熱(re)。其中，僅墻(qiang)壁和地(di)板(ban)加(jia)(jia)熱(re)系統，就需要大量加(jia)(jia)熱(re)電纜。此外，根據外國經驗，道路和機(ji)場(chang)融雪(xue)加(jia)(jia)熱(re)，也普(pu)遍首選加(jia)(jia)熱(re)電纜系統。

電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)采暖(nuan)(nuan)相(xiang)比燃煤(mei)采暖(nuan)(nuan)優勢(shi)比較明顯。當(dang)前，國(guo)內電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)供(gong)需(xu)矛盾將日(ri)趨緩(huan)和，2006年中國(guo)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)供(gong)需(xu)基本平衡。從(cong)2007年開(kai)始，一部(bu)分煤(mei)炭(tan)產地為降低(di)煤(mei)炭(tan)運輸成本，大力(li)發(fa)展(zhan)火力(li)發(fa)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)，變煤(mei)炭(tan)運輸為電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)輸送(song)，并且國(guo)家正在(zai)大力(li)發(fa)展(zhan)風力(li)發(fa)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)、太陽能(neng)發(fa)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)、水(shui)力(li)發(fa)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)、核電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)等，電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)已出(chu)現(xian)冬季過剩(sheng)現(xian)象，這就為電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)采暖(nuan)(nuan)提(ti)供(gong)了足夠空間(jian)。

據(ju)相關統計(ji)數字(zi)表明，我(wo)國地(di)面(mian)輻射(she)采暖市(shi)場在2010年底已達千億元，其中技術成熟(shu)的(de)低溫(wen)熱(re)水輻射(she)采暖和散熱(re)片采暖占據(ju)70%以上(shang)(shang)的(de)市(shi)場份額。電(dian)采暖雖(sui)處(chu)于起步階段，但也(ye)占據(ju)了25%左右(you)的(de)市(shi)場份額，并且(qie)保持(chi)持(chi)續(xu)上(shang)(shang)升的(de)趨勢(shi)。

如(ru)今(jin)，全國(guo)各(ge)地(di)針對電(dian)(dian)采(cai)暖(nuan)紛紛出(chu)(chu)(chu)臺優(you)惠(hui)政策(ce)，這從側面展現出(chu)(chu)(chu)了(le)電(dian)(dian)采(cai)暖(nuan)的巨大潛力，也(ye)為(wei)碳(tan)纖維發(fa)熱電(dian)(dian)纜的發(fa)展提(ti)供(gong)(gong)了(le)無限的可能性。就目前(qian)各(ge)個集中(zhong)供(gong)(gong)暖(nuan)區域推出(chu)(chu)(chu)的供(gong)(gong)暖(nuan)政策(ce)來看，煤炭(tan)供(gong)(gong)熱的時代正在成為(wei)歷史。而(er)新型(xing)的環保節能的采(cai)暖(nuan)方式正在占(zhan)領市場，其(qi)中(zhong)電(dian)(dian)采(cai)暖(nuan)以其(qi)成熟的行業(ye)體系和(he)卓越的供(gong)(gong)暖(nuan)效(xiao)果正在不斷受到重視。這為(wei)正處于產(chan)能過剩的電(dian)(dian)纜產(chan)業(ye)開(kai)辟(pi)了(le)一個新的市場。