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日前，國網天津(jin)市(shi)(shi)電(dian)(dian)力公司提出的(de)“以電(dian)(dian)供熱(re)”試點規劃(hua)，被寫入天津(jin)市(shi)(shi)政(zheng)府工作報告，預示(shi)著天津(jin)市(shi)(shi)加(jia)熱(re)電(dian)(dian)纜的(de)需求量將不斷(duan)提高。“推廣電(dian)(dian)能替(ti)代工程，啟動(dong)以電(dian)(dian)供熱(re)試點”被寫入天津(jin)市(shi)(shi)政(zheng)府工作報告，這標志著天津(jin)電(dian)(dian)能替(ti)代工作已進(jin)入政(zheng)府主(zhu)導、系統推進(jin)的(de)新(xin)階段。

當前電能(neng)替代技術成(cheng)熟，經濟優勢明(ming)顯(xian)，清潔(jie)環保(bao)已成(cheng)為(wei)政府和廣大用戶的共識。一(yi)直(zhi)以來，北方地(di)區冬季供(gong)熱(re)取暖主要是采(cai)用燃(ran)煤(mei)鍋爐，造(zao)成(cheng)嚴重大氣污(wu)染。如果采(cai)取電能(neng)替代，以電能(neng)或太陽能(neng)代替燃(ran)煤(mei)蒸(zheng)汽供(gong)熱(re)，不但(dan)供(gong)熱(re)成(cheng)本大幅度降(jiang)低，而且(qie)不會造(zao)成(cheng)環境污(wu)染。

在有些專家看來，電能(neng)作(zuo)為清潔能(neng)源的優勢凸顯，替代(dai)(dai)潛力(li)巨(ju)大。4月2日，國家電網公(gong)司召開了(le)2015年電能(neng)替代(dai)(dai)工作(zuo)推(tui)進會，發(fa)布了(le)《國家電網公(gong)司2015年全(quan)面深入推(tui)進電能(neng)替代(dai)(dai)行動計劃》，提出(chu)了(le)確(que)保(bao)全(quan)年完成650億千瓦時、力(li)爭(zheng)實現750億千瓦時替代(dai)(dai)電量。

據(ju)了(le)解，今年(nian)國家(jia)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)網公司將(jiang)著(zhu)力鞏固擴(kuo)大電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)窯(yao)爐、電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)鍋爐、熱(re)(re)泵(beng)等成熟項(xiang)目的(de)實(shi)施范圍，因地(di)(di)制宜拓展新領域、推(tui)(tui)(tui)廣(guang)新技術，除在(zai)(zai)港口地(di)(di)區(qu)推(tui)(tui)(tui)廣(guang)岸電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)替代(通過電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)纜將(jiang)船舶用電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)與岸上電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)源連接，在(zai)(zai)船舶靠(kao)岸期間采用陸地(di)(di)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)源供電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian))外，還將(jiang)對居民(min)區(qu)、學校等用戶推(tui)(tui)(tui)廣(guang)碳晶、電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)熱(re)(re)膜、發熱(re)(re)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)纜等技術，在(zai)(zai)企(qi)事業(ye)單位食(shi)堂推(tui)(tui)(tui)廣(guang)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)磁灶、電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)蒸鍋，在(zai)(zai)油田推(tui)(tui)(tui)廣(guang)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)動鉆機，在(zai)(zai)油氣(qi)輸送(song)管線推(tui)(tui)(tui)廣(guang)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力加壓等。

從消費端(duan)來看(kan)，各地主要(yao)通過(guo)以電(dian)(dian)代(dai)(dai)煤(mei)(mei)、以電(dian)(dian)代(dai)(dai)油來促進節(jie)能減(jian)排。北(bei)京市(shi)城六(liu)區基本取消燃煤(mei)(mei)鍋爐，農村(cun)地區新增減(jian)煤(mei)(mei)換(huan)煤(mei)(mei)120萬(wan)噸。河北(bei)省提出大幅(fu)壓減(jian)煤(mei)(mei)炭(tan)用(yong)量，實施煤(mei)(mei)電(dian)(dian)節(jie)能減(jian)排升級改造行(xing)動計劃。在(zai)歐美發達(da)國家，電(dian)(dian)采暖(nuan)普及(ji)率非常高，美國80%的城市(shi)實行(xing)電(dian)(dian)采暖(nuan)，加拿大、德(de)國、法(fa)國等電(dian)(dian)采暖(nuan)比例(li)均(jun)在(zai)50%以上。

有(you)專家分析認為，國內(nei)大(da)力開展電能(neng)替代(dai)，能(neng)有(you)效緩(huan)解電纜產業(ye)(ye)產能(neng)過(guo)(guo)剩(sheng)帶來的巨大(da)壓力。國內(nei)電線電纜行(xing)(xing)業(ye)(ye)產能(neng)過(guo)(guo)剩(sheng)以及設備(bei)過(guo)(guo)剩(sheng)是不爭的事實，產能(neng)過(guo)(guo)剩(sheng)意(yi)味著供大(da)于求，意(yi)味著惡性(xing)競爭;而設備(bei)過(guo)(guo)剩(sheng)又反映出開工率不足(zu)。事實上，僅次于汽車制造業(ye)(ye)的第(di)二大(da)產業(ye)(ye)電線電纜行(xing)(xing)業(ye)(ye)在贏得(de)“全(quan)球第(di)一”之后，卻因蜂擁而上深陷(xian)“紅海”的產能(neng)嚴(yan)重過(guo)(guo)剩(sheng)之中。不足(zu)四(si)成的產能(neng)開工率還不到歐美同期一半(ban)，連續萎靡的虧損包袱成為不少上市(shi)公司不能(neng)承受之重，欲剝離減(jian)負。

近來研發成功的碳纖維(wei)加(jia)(jia)熱電(dian)(dian)(dian)纜(lan)(lan)，將加(jia)(jia)熱電(dian)(dian)(dian)纜(lan)(lan)系(xi)統的應(ying)用(yong)推向了技術創(chuang)新階段。推行“以電(dian)(dian)(dian)供熱”的應(ying)用(yong)，廣(guang)泛涉及千(qian)家萬(wan)戶(hu)。例(li)如在住宅內部，可實(shi)現墻壁、地板、空間加(jia)(jia)熱。其中(zhong)，僅(jin)墻壁和(he)地板加(jia)(jia)熱系(xi)統，就需要(yao)大量(liang)加(jia)(jia)熱電(dian)(dian)(dian)纜(lan)(lan)。此外，根(gen)據外國經驗，道路和(he)機(ji)場(chang)融雪(xue)加(jia)(jia)熱，也普遍首(shou)選加(jia)(jia)熱電(dian)(dian)(dian)纜(lan)(lan)系(xi)統。

電(dian)(dian)(dian)采暖(nuan)相比(bi)燃(ran)煤采暖(nuan)優(you)勢比(bi)較明顯(xian)。當前，國內電(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)供(gong)需(xu)矛盾將日(ri)趨緩(huan)和，2006年中國電(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)供(gong)需(xu)基本(ben)平(ping)衡。從(cong)2007年開(kai)始，一(yi)部分(fen)煤炭產地為降低煤炭運輸(shu)成本(ben)，大力(li)發(fa)展火(huo)力(li)發(fa)電(dian)(dian)(dian)，變煤炭運輸(shu)為電(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)輸(shu)送，并且國家正在大力(li)發(fa)展風力(li)發(fa)電(dian)(dian)(dian)、太(tai)陽能(neng)發(fa)電(dian)(dian)(dian)、水力(li)發(fa)電(dian)(dian)(dian)、核電(dian)(dian)(dian)等，電(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)已出現冬季過剩現象，這就為電(dian)(dian)(dian)采暖(nuan)提(ti)供(gong)了足夠空間。

據相關統計數字表明，我國地面(mian)輻射采(cai)暖(nuan)市場(chang)在2010年底已達千億元，其中技術(shu)成熟(shu)的低溫熱水輻射采(cai)暖(nuan)和(he)散熱片采(cai)暖(nuan)占據70%以上的市場(chang)份(fen)額(e)(e)。電(dian)采(cai)暖(nuan)雖處于起步(bu)階段，但也占據了25%左右的市場(chang)份(fen)額(e)(e)，并(bing)且保(bao)持持續(xu)上升的趨勢。

如今，全國各(ge)地針(zhen)對電(dian)采(cai)暖(nuan)(nuan)(nuan)紛(fen)(fen)紛(fen)(fen)出臺優惠(hui)政(zheng)策，這從側面展現出了電(dian)采(cai)暖(nuan)(nuan)(nuan)的(de)(de)(de)巨大潛力，也為碳纖維發熱電(dian)纜(lan)的(de)(de)(de)發展提供了無(wu)限(xian)的(de)(de)(de)可(ke)能(neng)性(xing)。就目前各(ge)個集中供暖(nuan)(nuan)(nuan)區(qu)域推出的(de)(de)(de)供暖(nuan)(nuan)(nuan)政(zheng)策來看，煤炭供熱的(de)(de)(de)時代正(zheng)在(zai)成為歷(li)史。而(er)新型的(de)(de)(de)環保(bao)節(jie)能(neng)的(de)(de)(de)采(cai)暖(nuan)(nuan)(nuan)方式正(zheng)在(zai)占領市(shi)(shi)場，其中電(dian)采(cai)暖(nuan)(nuan)(nuan)以其成熟(shu)的(de)(de)(de)行業(ye)體系和(he)卓越的(de)(de)(de)供暖(nuan)(nuan)(nuan)效果正(zheng)在(zai)不斷受到重視。這為正(zheng)處于(yu)產(chan)能(neng)過剩的(de)(de)(de)電(dian)纜(lan)產(chan)業(ye)開辟(pi)了一個新的(de)(de)(de)市(shi)(shi)場。