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日前，國(guo)網天(tian)津(jin)市(shi)(shi)電(dian)力(li)公司提出的(de)“以(yi)電(dian)供熱(re)”試(shi)點(dian)規劃(hua)，被(bei)寫(xie)入天(tian)津(jin)市(shi)(shi)政府(fu)工作報(bao)告，預示著(zhu)天(tian)津(jin)市(shi)(shi)加熱(re)電(dian)纜的(de)需求(qiu)量將不斷提高。“推(tui)廣電(dian)能(neng)替代工程(cheng)，啟動(dong)以(yi)電(dian)供熱(re)試(shi)點(dian)”被(bei)寫(xie)入天(tian)津(jin)市(shi)(shi)政府(fu)工作報(bao)告，這標志著(zhu)天(tian)津(jin)電(dian)能(neng)替代工作已進(jin)(jin)入政府(fu)主導、系統推(tui)進(jin)(jin)的(de)新階(jie)段。

當前(qian)電能替代技(ji)術成(cheng)(cheng)(cheng)熟，經濟(ji)優勢明顯，清潔(jie)環(huan)保(bao)已成(cheng)(cheng)(cheng)為政(zheng)府和(he)廣大(da)用戶的共識(shi)。一直以(yi)來，北方地區冬季(ji)供熱取暖主要(yao)是采用燃(ran)(ran)煤(mei)鍋爐，造成(cheng)(cheng)(cheng)嚴重大(da)氣污染(ran)。如果采取電能替代，以(yi)電能或太陽能代替燃(ran)(ran)煤(mei)蒸汽供熱，不但供熱成(cheng)(cheng)(cheng)本大(da)幅度降低，而且不會造成(cheng)(cheng)(cheng)環(huan)境污染(ran)。

在有些專家看來，電(dian)能(neng)作(zuo)為清潔能(neng)源的優勢凸顯，替代(dai)(dai)潛力巨大。4月2日，國(guo)家電(dian)網公司(si)(si)召開了2015年電(dian)能(neng)替代(dai)(dai)工作(zuo)推(tui)進(jin)會(hui)，發(fa)布(bu)了《國(guo)家電(dian)網公司(si)(si)2015年全面深入推(tui)進(jin)電(dian)能(neng)替代(dai)(dai)行動計劃》，提出了確保全年完成650億千(qian)瓦時、力爭實現(xian)750億千(qian)瓦時替代(dai)(dai)電(dian)量。

據了解(jie)，今年國家電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)網公司(si)將著力鞏固擴(kuo)大電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)窯(yao)爐、電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)鍋爐、熱(re)泵等成熟項目的實(shi)施(shi)范(fan)圍，因(yin)地制宜(yi)拓展新領域(yu)、推(tui)廣(guang)(guang)新技(ji)術(shu)，除在港(gang)口(kou)地區(qu)推(tui)廣(guang)(guang)岸電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)替代(通(tong)過(guo)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)纜將船舶(bo)用(yong)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)與岸上電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)源連(lian)接，在船舶(bo)靠岸期間采(cai)用(yong)陸地電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)源供電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian))外(wai)，還(huan)將對居民區(qu)、學校等用(yong)戶推(tui)廣(guang)(guang)碳晶、電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)熱(re)膜、發熱(re)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)纜等技(ji)術(shu)，在企事業單(dan)位食(shi)堂推(tui)廣(guang)(guang)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)磁灶、電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)蒸(zheng)鍋，在油(you)田推(tui)廣(guang)(guang)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)動鉆機(ji)，在油(you)氣輸送(song)管線推(tui)廣(guang)(guang)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力加壓等。

從消(xiao)費(fei)端來(lai)看，各地主要通過(guo)以(yi)電(dian)代(dai)煤(mei)、以(yi)電(dian)代(dai)油來(lai)促進節能減排(pai)。北(bei)(bei)京市(shi)城六區(qu)基本(ben)取消(xiao)燃煤(mei)鍋爐，農村地區(qu)新增(zeng)減煤(mei)換(huan)煤(mei)120萬噸。河北(bei)(bei)省提(ti)出大(da)幅壓減煤(mei)炭用量，實施煤(mei)電(dian)節能減排(pai)升級改造行(xing)動(dong)計劃(hua)。在歐美(mei)發達國(guo)家，電(dian)采(cai)暖(nuan)普(pu)及率非常高(gao)，美(mei)國(guo)80%的城市(shi)實行(xing)電(dian)采(cai)暖(nuan)，加拿(na)大(da)、德(de)國(guo)、法國(guo)等電(dian)采(cai)暖(nuan)比例均在50%以(yi)上。

有(you)專家分析(xi)認(ren)為，國內大(da)(da)力開(kai)(kai)展(zhan)電(dian)(dian)能替(ti)代，能有(you)效緩解(jie)電(dian)(dian)纜產(chan)(chan)業(ye)(ye)產(chan)(chan)能過(guo)剩帶來(lai)的巨大(da)(da)壓力。國內電(dian)(dian)線(xian)電(dian)(dian)纜行(xing)業(ye)(ye)產(chan)(chan)能過(guo)剩以及設備過(guo)剩是不(bu)(bu)爭的事實，產(chan)(chan)能過(guo)剩意味著供大(da)(da)于求(qiu)，意味著惡性(xing)競(jing)爭;而設備過(guo)剩又反映出(chu)開(kai)(kai)工率(lv)不(bu)(bu)足(zu)。事實上(shang)(shang)(shang)，僅次于汽車(che)制造(zao)業(ye)(ye)的第二大(da)(da)產(chan)(chan)業(ye)(ye)電(dian)(dian)線(xian)電(dian)(dian)纜行(xing)業(ye)(ye)在贏得“全球第一”之(zhi)后，卻(que)因蜂(feng)擁而上(shang)(shang)(shang)深陷(xian)“紅海”的產(chan)(chan)能嚴(yan)重過(guo)剩之(zhi)中(zhong)。不(bu)(bu)足(zu)四成的產(chan)(chan)能開(kai)(kai)工率(lv)還不(bu)(bu)到歐美(mei)同期一半(ban)，連續萎靡的虧損包袱成為不(bu)(bu)少上(shang)(shang)(shang)市公司(si)不(bu)(bu)能承(cheng)受(shou)之(zhi)重，欲剝離減負。

近(jin)來研發成功的碳纖(xian)維加(jia)(jia)熱(re)(re)電(dian)(dian)纜(lan)，將加(jia)(jia)熱(re)(re)電(dian)(dian)纜(lan)系統的應(ying)(ying)用推向(xiang)了技術創新階(jie)段。推行“以(yi)電(dian)(dian)供(gong)熱(re)(re)”的應(ying)(ying)用，廣(guang)泛涉及(ji)千家萬(wan)戶。例如在住宅內部，可實現墻壁(bi)、地(di)板、空(kong)間(jian)加(jia)(jia)熱(re)(re)。其中，僅墻壁(bi)和地(di)板加(jia)(jia)熱(re)(re)系統，就需要大(da)量加(jia)(jia)熱(re)(re)電(dian)(dian)纜(lan)。此外(wai)，根(gen)據外(wai)國經驗(yan)，道路(lu)和機場融雪加(jia)(jia)熱(re)(re)，也(ye)普遍首選加(jia)(jia)熱(re)(re)電(dian)(dian)纜(lan)系統。

電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)采(cai)(cai)暖相比燃煤(mei)(mei)采(cai)(cai)暖優勢比較(jiao)明顯。當前，國內(nei)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)(li)供(gong)需(xu)矛盾(dun)將日(ri)趨緩(huan)和(he)，2006年(nian)中(zhong)國電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)(li)供(gong)需(xu)基本(ben)平衡(heng)。從2007年(nian)開始，一部分(fen)煤(mei)(mei)炭產(chan)地為降低煤(mei)(mei)炭運(yun)輸(shu)(shu)成(cheng)本(ben)，大力(li)(li)(li)發展火力(li)(li)(li)發電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)，變煤(mei)(mei)炭運(yun)輸(shu)(shu)為電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)(li)輸(shu)(shu)送，并且國家正在大力(li)(li)(li)發展風力(li)(li)(li)發電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)、太陽能發電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)、水力(li)(li)(li)發電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)、核電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)等(deng)，電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)(li)已出(chu)現冬季過剩(sheng)現象，這就(jiu)為電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)采(cai)(cai)暖提供(gong)了足(zu)夠空間。

據(ju)(ju)相關統計數字表明，我國地(di)面輻射(she)采(cai)暖(nuan)市(shi)場(chang)在2010年底已達千億(yi)元，其中技術(shu)成(cheng)熟(shu)的低溫熱水輻射(she)采(cai)暖(nuan)和散熱片采(cai)暖(nuan)占據(ju)(ju)70%以上(shang)(shang)的市(shi)場(chang)份額。電采(cai)暖(nuan)雖處于起步階(jie)段(duan)，但(dan)也占據(ju)(ju)了(le)25%左(zuo)右的市(shi)場(chang)份額，并(bing)且(qie)保持持續上(shang)(shang)升(sheng)的趨(qu)勢。

如今，全國各地針對電采(cai)暖紛紛出臺優(you)惠政(zheng)(zheng)策(ce)，這(zhe)(zhe)從側面展(zhan)現出了(le)電采(cai)暖的(de)巨大潛力，也為(wei)碳纖維發熱電纜(lan)的(de)發展(zhan)提(ti)供(gong)(gong)了(le)無限(xian)的(de)可能性。就目前各個集中(zhong)供(gong)(gong)暖區域(yu)推出的(de)供(gong)(gong)暖政(zheng)(zheng)策(ce)來看，煤炭供(gong)(gong)熱的(de)時代(dai)正在(zai)(zai)成為(wei)歷史。而新型(xing)的(de)環保(bao)節能的(de)采(cai)暖方式(shi)正在(zai)(zai)占領市場(chang)，其中(zhong)電采(cai)暖以其成熟(shu)的(de)行業(ye)體系和卓(zhuo)越(yue)的(de)供(gong)(gong)暖效(xiao)果正在(zai)(zai)不斷受(shou)到重視。這(zhe)(zhe)為(wei)正處于產能過剩的(de)電纜(lan)產業(ye)開辟了(le)一個新的(de)市場(chang)。