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日(ri)前，國網(wang)天(tian)津(jin)市(shi)電(dian)力公司提(ti)出的(de)“以電(dian)供熱”試點規劃，被(bei)寫入天(tian)津(jin)市(shi)政(zheng)府工(gong)(gong)作(zuo)報(bao)告，預示著天(tian)津(jin)市(shi)加熱電(dian)纜的(de)需(xu)求(qiu)量(liang)將不斷提(ti)高。“推(tui)廣(guang)電(dian)能(neng)替代工(gong)(gong)程(cheng)，啟動以電(dian)供熱試點”被(bei)寫入天(tian)津(jin)市(shi)政(zheng)府工(gong)(gong)作(zuo)報(bao)告，這標志著天(tian)津(jin)電(dian)能(neng)替代工(gong)(gong)作(zuo)已進(jin)入政(zheng)府主導、系統推(tui)進(jin)的(de)新階段。

當前電(dian)能(neng)(neng)替(ti)代技術成(cheng)熟，經濟(ji)優勢明(ming)顯，清潔環(huan)保已成(cheng)為政府和廣大用戶(hu)的(de)共(gong)識。一直以來，北方地區(qu)冬季供熱取暖主要(yao)是(shi)采用燃煤鍋(guo)爐(lu)，造成(cheng)嚴重大氣污(wu)染(ran)。如(ru)果采取電(dian)能(neng)(neng)替(ti)代，以電(dian)能(neng)(neng)或太陽能(neng)(neng)代替(ti)燃煤蒸汽供熱，不(bu)但供熱成(cheng)本大幅度(du)降低(di)，而且不(bu)會造成(cheng)環(huan)境(jing)污(wu)染(ran)。

在(zai)有些(xie)專(zhuan)家看來，電(dian)能(neng)作為(wei)清潔能(neng)源的優勢凸顯(xian)，替代(dai)(dai)潛(qian)力(li)巨大。4月2日，國(guo)家電(dian)網(wang)公司召開(kai)了(le)2015年電(dian)能(neng)替代(dai)(dai)工作推(tui)進會，發布了(le)《國(guo)家電(dian)網(wang)公司2015年全(quan)面深(shen)入推(tui)進電(dian)能(neng)替代(dai)(dai)行動計劃》，提出了(le)確保全(quan)年完成650億(yi)千瓦時、力(li)爭實現750億(yi)千瓦時替代(dai)(dai)電(dian)量(liang)。

據了解，今(jin)年國家電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)網(wang)公司將著力鞏固擴大電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)窯爐、電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)鍋爐、熱泵等(deng)(deng)成熟項目的實施范(fan)圍，因(yin)地(di)制宜(yi)拓展新領(ling)域、推(tui)(tui)廣(guang)新技(ji)術，除(chu)在港口地(di)區推(tui)(tui)廣(guang)岸電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)替代(通過(guo)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)纜將船(chuan)舶用(yong)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)與岸上(shang)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)源(yuan)連接(jie)，在船(chuan)舶靠岸期間采用(yong)陸(lu)地(di)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)源(yuan)供(gong)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian))外(wai)，還(huan)將對居(ju)民區、學校等(deng)(deng)用(yong)戶推(tui)(tui)廣(guang)碳(tan)晶、電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)熱膜、發熱電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)纜等(deng)(deng)技(ji)術，在企事業(ye)單位食堂推(tui)(tui)廣(guang)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)磁(ci)灶、電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)蒸鍋，在油(you)(you)田推(tui)(tui)廣(guang)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)動鉆(zhan)機(ji)，在油(you)(you)氣輸送管線推(tui)(tui)廣(guang)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力加(jia)壓(ya)等(deng)(deng)。

從(cong)消費端來(lai)看，各地主要(yao)通過以(yi)電(dian)代(dai)(dai)煤、以(yi)電(dian)代(dai)(dai)油來(lai)促進節能減(jian)(jian)排。北(bei)京市城六區(qu)(qu)基(ji)本取(qu)消燃煤鍋(guo)爐(lu)，農(nong)村地區(qu)(qu)新增減(jian)(jian)煤換煤120萬噸。河北(bei)省(sheng)提出大(da)幅(fu)壓減(jian)(jian)煤炭用量，實施煤電(dian)節能減(jian)(jian)排升級(ji)改造行動(dong)計(ji)劃(hua)。在歐美發達國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)家，電(dian)采(cai)暖(nuan)普及(ji)率非(fei)常高，美國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)80%的(de)城市實行電(dian)采(cai)暖(nuan)，加拿(na)大(da)、德國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)、法(fa)國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)等電(dian)采(cai)暖(nuan)比例均(jun)在50%以(yi)上(shang)。

有專家分析認為，國內(nei)大(da)力開(kai)展電能(neng)(neng)替(ti)代，能(neng)(neng)有效緩解(jie)電纜(lan)產(chan)業產(chan)能(neng)(neng)過(guo)剩帶(dai)來(lai)的(de)(de)巨大(da)壓力。國內(nei)電線電纜(lan)行業產(chan)能(neng)(neng)過(guo)剩以及(ji)設備(bei)過(guo)剩是不爭(zheng)的(de)(de)事(shi)實，產(chan)能(neng)(neng)過(guo)剩意味(wei)著供大(da)于(yu)求(qiu)，意味(wei)著惡性競爭(zheng);而設備(bei)過(guo)剩又反映(ying)出開(kai)工(gong)率不足。事(shi)實上，僅次于(yu)汽車制造業的(de)(de)第(di)二大(da)產(chan)業電線電纜(lan)行業在贏得“全球第(di)一”之后，卻(que)因蜂擁而上深陷“紅海”的(de)(de)產(chan)能(neng)(neng)嚴重過(guo)剩之中。不足四成(cheng)的(de)(de)產(chan)能(neng)(neng)開(kai)工(gong)率還不到歐美同期(qi)一半，連續萎靡的(de)(de)虧損包袱成(cheng)為不少上市公司不能(neng)(neng)承受之重，欲剝離減負。

近來研發成功(gong)的(de)碳纖維(wei)加(jia)(jia)(jia)熱(re)(re)電(dian)(dian)纜(lan)(lan)(lan)，將加(jia)(jia)(jia)熱(re)(re)電(dian)(dian)纜(lan)(lan)(lan)系統的(de)應(ying)用推(tui)向了(le)技術(shu)創新階(jie)段(duan)。推(tui)行“以電(dian)(dian)供熱(re)(re)”的(de)應(ying)用，廣泛涉及千(qian)家萬戶。例如在住宅內部，可實現墻壁、地板、空(kong)間加(jia)(jia)(jia)熱(re)(re)。其中，僅墻壁和(he)地板加(jia)(jia)(jia)熱(re)(re)系統，就需要大量(liang)加(jia)(jia)(jia)熱(re)(re)電(dian)(dian)纜(lan)(lan)(lan)。此(ci)外(wai)(wai)，根(gen)據外(wai)(wai)國經驗，道路和(he)機場融雪(xue)加(jia)(jia)(jia)熱(re)(re)，也普遍首選加(jia)(jia)(jia)熱(re)(re)電(dian)(dian)纜(lan)(lan)(lan)系統。

電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)采(cai)暖(nuan)相比(bi)燃(ran)煤采(cai)暖(nuan)優勢比(bi)較明顯。當前，國(guo)內電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)供(gong)需矛(mao)盾將日(ri)趨緩和，2006年中國(guo)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)供(gong)需基本平衡。從(cong)2007年開(kai)始，一部分煤炭產地為(wei)降(jiang)低煤炭運(yun)輸成本，大(da)力(li)發(fa)展火力(li)發(fa)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)，變煤炭運(yun)輸為(wei)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)輸送，并且(qie)國(guo)家正在(zai)大(da)力(li)發(fa)展風力(li)發(fa)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)、太(tai)陽能發(fa)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)、水力(li)發(fa)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)、核電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)等，電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)已出現冬季過剩(sheng)現象，這(zhe)就為(wei)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)采(cai)暖(nuan)提供(gong)了(le)足(zu)夠空間。

據相關統(tong)計數字表明，我國地面輻射采(cai)(cai)暖(nuan)市(shi)(shi)場在2010年底已(yi)達千(qian)億元(yuan)，其中技術成熟的(de)低溫(wen)熱(re)水輻射采(cai)(cai)暖(nuan)和散熱(re)片采(cai)(cai)暖(nuan)占(zhan)(zhan)據70%以(yi)上的(de)市(shi)(shi)場份額。電采(cai)(cai)暖(nuan)雖處于(yu)起步階段(duan)，但也(ye)占(zhan)(zhan)據了25%左右的(de)市(shi)(shi)場份額，并且(qie)保(bao)持(chi)持(chi)續上升(sheng)的(de)趨(qu)勢。

如(ru)今，全國各(ge)地(di)針對電(dian)采(cai)暖(nuan)紛紛出(chu)臺優惠(hui)政策(ce)，這(zhe)從側面展現出(chu)了電(dian)采(cai)暖(nuan)的(de)(de)巨大潛力，也(ye)為碳(tan)纖維(wei)發熱電(dian)纜的(de)(de)發展提供了無限的(de)(de)可能性。就目前各(ge)個集中供暖(nuan)區(qu)域推出(chu)的(de)(de)供暖(nuan)政策(ce)來(lai)看，煤炭供熱的(de)(de)時代正(zheng)在(zai)成(cheng)為歷史。而新型的(de)(de)環保節能的(de)(de)采(cai)暖(nuan)方式正(zheng)在(zai)占領(ling)市(shi)場，其(qi)中電(dian)采(cai)暖(nuan)以(yi)其(qi)成(cheng)熟的(de)(de)行業體系和卓(zhuo)越的(de)(de)供暖(nuan)效(xiao)果(guo)正(zheng)在(zai)不斷受到重視(shi)。這(zhe)為正(zheng)處(chu)于產能過剩的(de)(de)電(dian)纜產業開辟(pi)了一個新的(de)(de)市(shi)場。