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日前，國網天(tian)(tian)(tian)津市(shi)(shi)電力公(gong)司提出(chu)的(de)“以電供熱”試點規劃，被(bei)寫入(ru)天(tian)(tian)(tian)津市(shi)(shi)政府(fu)工(gong)(gong)作報告，預示著天(tian)(tian)(tian)津市(shi)(shi)加熱電纜(lan)的(de)需求量將不斷提高。“推廣電能替(ti)代(dai)工(gong)(gong)程，啟(qi)動以電供熱試點”被(bei)寫入(ru)天(tian)(tian)(tian)津市(shi)(shi)政府(fu)工(gong)(gong)作報告，這標志(zhi)著天(tian)(tian)(tian)津電能替(ti)代(dai)工(gong)(gong)作已(yi)進(jin)入(ru)政府(fu)主導、系(xi)統推進(jin)的(de)新階段。

當(dang)前電能(neng)替代技術成熟，經(jing)濟優(you)勢明顯，清潔環保(bao)已(yi)成為政府(fu)和廣(guang)大用(yong)戶的共識。一(yi)直以(yi)來，北方(fang)地(di)區冬季供(gong)熱(re)取暖主要是采用(yong)燃(ran)煤鍋爐，造(zao)成嚴重大氣污染。如果(guo)采取電能(neng)替代，以(yi)電能(neng)或(huo)太陽能(neng)代替燃(ran)煤蒸(zheng)汽供(gong)熱(re)，不但供(gong)熱(re)成本大幅度降低，而且不會造(zao)成環境污染。

在(zai)有(you)些(xie)專家(jia)看來(lai)，電(dian)能(neng)作為清(qing)潔能(neng)源的優勢(shi)凸顯(xian)，替(ti)(ti)代(dai)(dai)潛力巨大。4月2日(ri)，國家(jia)電(dian)網公(gong)(gong)司召(zhao)開了(le)2015年(nian)(nian)電(dian)能(neng)替(ti)(ti)代(dai)(dai)工作推(tui)(tui)進(jin)會(hui)，發布了(le)《國家(jia)電(dian)網公(gong)(gong)司2015年(nian)(nian)全面(mian)深入推(tui)(tui)進(jin)電(dian)能(neng)替(ti)(ti)代(dai)(dai)行動計劃》，提出了(le)確保全年(nian)(nian)完成650億(yi)(yi)千瓦時、力爭實現750億(yi)(yi)千瓦時替(ti)(ti)代(dai)(dai)電(dian)量(liang)。

據了(le)解，今年國家電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)網(wang)公司(si)將(jiang)(jiang)著力鞏固擴大電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)窯爐、電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)鍋爐、熱(re)泵等成熟項(xiang)目的實施范圍，因地制宜拓展新領(ling)域(yu)、推(tui)(tui)廣(guang)(guang)新技(ji)術(shu)，除(chu)在(zai)港口地區(qu)推(tui)(tui)廣(guang)(guang)岸(an)(an)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)替代(通過(guo)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)纜(lan)將(jiang)(jiang)船舶用電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)與岸(an)(an)上電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)源(yuan)連接，在(zai)船舶靠岸(an)(an)期間采用陸地電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)源(yuan)供電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian))外，還將(jiang)(jiang)對(dui)居民(min)區(qu)、學(xue)校等用戶推(tui)(tui)廣(guang)(guang)碳晶、電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)熱(re)膜、發熱(re)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)纜(lan)等技(ji)術(shu)，在(zai)企事業單位食堂推(tui)(tui)廣(guang)(guang)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)磁灶、電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)蒸鍋，在(zai)油田推(tui)(tui)廣(guang)(guang)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)動鉆機，在(zai)油氣輸送(song)管線(xian)推(tui)(tui)廣(guang)(guang)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力加壓等。

從(cong)消(xiao)費端來(lai)看，各地(di)主要(yao)通過以(yi)(yi)電(dian)(dian)代(dai)煤(mei)(mei)(mei)、以(yi)(yi)電(dian)(dian)代(dai)油來(lai)促進節(jie)能(neng)減排(pai)。北京市城(cheng)(cheng)六區基本取消(xiao)燃(ran)煤(mei)(mei)(mei)鍋爐，農(nong)村地(di)區新(xin)增減煤(mei)(mei)(mei)換(huan)煤(mei)(mei)(mei)120萬噸。河北省提(ti)出(chu)大幅壓減煤(mei)(mei)(mei)炭用量，實施煤(mei)(mei)(mei)電(dian)(dian)節(jie)能(neng)減排(pai)升級改造行(xing)動計劃。在歐(ou)美(mei)發達國(guo)(guo)家，電(dian)(dian)采暖(nuan)(nuan)普及(ji)率非常(chang)高，美(mei)國(guo)(guo)80%的(de)城(cheng)(cheng)市實行(xing)電(dian)(dian)采暖(nuan)(nuan)，加(jia)拿大、德國(guo)(guo)、法國(guo)(guo)等電(dian)(dian)采暖(nuan)(nuan)比例均(jun)在50%以(yi)(yi)上(shang)。

有專(zhuan)家分析認為，國(guo)內大力開展(zhan)電(dian)能(neng)替(ti)代，能(neng)有效(xiao)緩解電(dian)纜(lan)產業(ye)產能(neng)過(guo)剩(sheng)帶(dai)來的(de)(de)巨大壓(ya)力。國(guo)內電(dian)線電(dian)纜(lan)行業(ye)產能(neng)過(guo)剩(sheng)以及設備過(guo)剩(sheng)是不爭的(de)(de)事(shi)實，產能(neng)過(guo)剩(sheng)意(yi)味(wei)著供大于求，意(yi)味(wei)著惡(e)性競爭;而(er)設備過(guo)剩(sheng)又反映出開工(gong)(gong)率(lv)不足。事(shi)實上，僅(jin)次于汽(qi)車制造業(ye)的(de)(de)第(di)二大產業(ye)電(dian)線電(dian)纜(lan)行業(ye)在(zai)贏得“全球第(di)一”之(zhi)后，卻因蜂(feng)擁(yong)而(er)上深陷“紅(hong)海(hai)”的(de)(de)產能(neng)嚴重過(guo)剩(sheng)之(zhi)中(zhong)。不足四成(cheng)的(de)(de)產能(neng)開工(gong)(gong)率(lv)還不到歐美同期一半(ban)，連續萎靡的(de)(de)虧(kui)損(sun)包袱成(cheng)為不少上市公司不能(neng)承受之(zhi)重，欲剝離減負。

近來(lai)研發成功的(de)碳(tan)纖維加熱(re)電(dian)(dian)纜(lan)，將(jiang)加熱(re)電(dian)(dian)纜(lan)系統(tong)的(de)應(ying)(ying)用推向了技(ji)術創新(xin)階段(duan)。推行“以(yi)電(dian)(dian)供熱(re)”的(de)應(ying)(ying)用，廣泛涉及千家萬(wan)戶。例(li)如在(zai)住宅內部，可實現墻壁、地板(ban)、空間加熱(re)。其中(zhong)，僅墻壁和地板(ban)加熱(re)系統(tong)，就需要大量加熱(re)電(dian)(dian)纜(lan)。此外(wai)，根據外(wai)國經驗，道路和機場融雪加熱(re)，也普遍首選加熱(re)電(dian)(dian)纜(lan)系統(tong)。

電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)采暖相比(bi)燃煤(mei)采暖優勢比(bi)較明顯。當前，國(guo)內(nei)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)供需矛盾(dun)將日(ri)趨緩和，2006年中(zhong)國(guo)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)供需基本平衡(heng)。從(cong)2007年開始，一部分煤(mei)炭(tan)(tan)產地為降低煤(mei)炭(tan)(tan)運輸成本，大力(li)發(fa)展火力(li)發(fa)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)，變(bian)煤(mei)炭(tan)(tan)運輸為電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)輸送，并且國(guo)家正在大力(li)發(fa)展風力(li)發(fa)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)、太陽能發(fa)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)、水(shui)力(li)發(fa)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)、核電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)等，電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)已出現冬(dong)季(ji)過剩現象，這就(jiu)為電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)采暖提供了足夠空間。

據(ju)(ju)相(xiang)關統(tong)計數(shu)字表明，我國(guo)地面輻射采暖市場在2010年(nian)底已達千億元，其中(zhong)技(ji)術成熟的(de)低溫熱水輻射采暖和散熱片采暖占據(ju)(ju)70%以上的(de)市場份額。電采暖雖處于(yu)起步階段，但也占據(ju)(ju)了25%左右的(de)市場份額，并且保持持續上升的(de)趨勢。

如今，全國各地針對電采(cai)暖(nuan)紛(fen)紛(fen)出臺優惠(hui)政策，這(zhe)從(cong)側面展(zhan)現出了電采(cai)暖(nuan)的(de)(de)(de)(de)巨大潛力，也為碳纖維發熱電纜的(de)(de)(de)(de)發展(zhan)提(ti)供了無(wu)限(xian)的(de)(de)(de)(de)可(ke)能(neng)性。就目(mu)前各個集中供暖(nuan)區域推出的(de)(de)(de)(de)供暖(nuan)政策來看，煤炭供熱的(de)(de)(de)(de)時代正(zheng)在(zai)成為歷史。而新(xin)型(xing)的(de)(de)(de)(de)環(huan)保節能(neng)的(de)(de)(de)(de)采(cai)暖(nuan)方式正(zheng)在(zai)占(zhan)領(ling)市(shi)(shi)場，其(qi)中電采(cai)暖(nuan)以其(qi)成熟的(de)(de)(de)(de)行業體系和(he)卓越的(de)(de)(de)(de)供暖(nuan)效果正(zheng)在(zai)不斷受到重視。這(zhe)為正(zheng)處于產能(neng)過剩的(de)(de)(de)(de)電纜產業開辟了一個新(xin)的(de)(de)(de)(de)市(shi)(shi)場。