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日前，國(guo)網(wang)天津(jin)市(shi)電(dian)力公司提出(chu)的“以(yi)電(dian)供熱”試(shi)點規劃，被(bei)寫入天津(jin)市(shi)政府(fu)(fu)工(gong)作報告，預示(shi)著(zhu)(zhu)天津(jin)市(shi)加熱電(dian)纜的需求量將不(bu)斷提高(gao)。“推(tui)(tui)廣電(dian)能替代工(gong)程(cheng)，啟(qi)動以(yi)電(dian)供熱試(shi)點”被(bei)寫入天津(jin)市(shi)政府(fu)(fu)工(gong)作報告，這標(biao)志著(zhu)(zhu)天津(jin)電(dian)能替代工(gong)作已進入政府(fu)(fu)主導、系統(tong)推(tui)(tui)進的新階段。

當前電能替(ti)代(dai)技術成(cheng)(cheng)(cheng)熟，經濟優勢明顯，清潔環(huan)保已成(cheng)(cheng)(cheng)為政府和(he)廣大(da)用戶的共識。一直以來(lai)，北方地區冬(dong)季(ji)供熱(re)取暖主要是采用燃煤鍋(guo)爐，造(zao)成(cheng)(cheng)(cheng)嚴(yan)重大(da)氣污染。如果(guo)采取電能替(ti)代(dai)，以電能或(huo)太(tai)陽能代(dai)替(ti)燃煤蒸汽(qi)供熱(re)，不但(dan)供熱(re)成(cheng)(cheng)(cheng)本大(da)幅度降低，而且不會(hui)造(zao)成(cheng)(cheng)(cheng)環(huan)境污染。

在有些(xie)專家(jia)(jia)看來，電能作為清潔能源的優勢凸(tu)顯，替代潛力巨大。4月(yue)2日，國家(jia)(jia)電網(wang)(wang)公司(si)召開了(le)2015年(nian)電能替代工作推進(jin)會，發(fa)布了(le)《國家(jia)(jia)電網(wang)(wang)公司(si)2015年(nian)全面(mian)深入推進(jin)電能替代行(xing)動計劃》，提出了(le)確保(bao)全年(nian)完成650億千瓦時、力爭實現(xian)750億千瓦時替代電量(liang)。

據了解，今年國家(jia)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)網公司將著力(li)鞏(gong)固擴大電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)窯爐、電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)鍋(guo)爐、熱(re)泵(beng)等成(cheng)熟項目(mu)的實施(shi)范圍，因地制宜拓展(zhan)新領域(yu)、推(tui)廣(guang)(guang)新技術，除(chu)在港口地區(qu)推(tui)廣(guang)(guang)岸(an)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)替代(通(tong)過電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)纜將船舶用電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)與岸(an)上電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)源連接，在船舶靠岸(an)期(qi)間(jian)采用陸地電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)源供(gong)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian))外，還將對居民區(qu)、學校等用戶推(tui)廣(guang)(guang)碳(tan)晶、電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)熱(re)膜、發熱(re)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)纜等技術，在企事業單位食(shi)堂推(tui)廣(guang)(guang)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)磁灶、電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)蒸(zheng)鍋(guo)，在油田推(tui)廣(guang)(guang)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)動鉆機，在油氣(qi)輸送管線(xian)推(tui)廣(guang)(guang)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)加壓等。

從消(xiao)費端來看，各地主要通過以(yi)(yi)電(dian)代煤(mei)(mei)、以(yi)(yi)電(dian)代油來促進節能減排。北(bei)京市城六區基本取消(xiao)燃煤(mei)(mei)鍋爐，農村地區新增減煤(mei)(mei)換煤(mei)(mei)120萬噸(dun)。河北(bei)省提(ti)出大幅(fu)壓減煤(mei)(mei)炭(tan)用(yong)量，實(shi)施(shi)煤(mei)(mei)電(dian)節能減排升級改造行動計劃(hua)。在(zai)(zai)歐(ou)美發達國(guo)家，電(dian)采暖(nuan)普(pu)及率(lv)非常高，美國(guo)80%的(de)城市實(shi)行電(dian)采暖(nuan)，加拿(na)大、德國(guo)、法(fa)國(guo)等電(dian)采暖(nuan)比例(li)均在(zai)(zai)50%以(yi)(yi)上。

有專家分析認為，國內大力(li)開展電(dian)能(neng)(neng)替(ti)代，能(neng)(neng)有效緩解(jie)電(dian)纜(lan)(lan)產(chan)(chan)(chan)業產(chan)(chan)(chan)能(neng)(neng)過(guo)剩(sheng)帶(dai)來(lai)的巨大壓力(li)。國內電(dian)線(xian)電(dian)纜(lan)(lan)行業產(chan)(chan)(chan)能(neng)(neng)過(guo)剩(sheng)以及設備過(guo)剩(sheng)是不(bu)(bu)爭的事(shi)實(shi)，產(chan)(chan)(chan)能(neng)(neng)過(guo)剩(sheng)意(yi)味(wei)著供大于(yu)求，意(yi)味(wei)著惡性競爭;而設備過(guo)剩(sheng)又(you)反映出開工率不(bu)(bu)足。事(shi)實(shi)上(shang)(shang)，僅次(ci)于(yu)汽車制造(zao)業的第二大產(chan)(chan)(chan)業電(dian)線(xian)電(dian)纜(lan)(lan)行業在贏得(de)“全球第一(yi)”之后，卻因(yin)蜂擁而上(shang)(shang)深陷“紅海(hai)”的產(chan)(chan)(chan)能(neng)(neng)嚴重過(guo)剩(sheng)之中。不(bu)(bu)足四成(cheng)的產(chan)(chan)(chan)能(neng)(neng)開工率還不(bu)(bu)到歐(ou)美同期一(yi)半，連續萎(wei)靡的虧損包袱成(cheng)為不(bu)(bu)少上(shang)(shang)市公(gong)司不(bu)(bu)能(neng)(neng)承受(shou)之重，欲剝離減負。

近來研發(fa)成功的碳纖維加(jia)熱(re)電(dian)纜，將加(jia)熱(re)電(dian)纜系(xi)(xi)統(tong)的應(ying)用推向了技術創新階段。推行“以(yi)電(dian)供熱(re)”的應(ying)用，廣(guang)泛(fan)涉及千(qian)家萬戶。例如在住宅內(nei)部，可實(shi)現墻壁(bi)、地板、空(kong)間加(jia)熱(re)。其中，僅墻壁(bi)和(he)地板加(jia)熱(re)系(xi)(xi)統(tong)，就需要大量加(jia)熱(re)電(dian)纜。此外，根據外國經驗，道路(lu)和(he)機場融雪加(jia)熱(re)，也普遍首選加(jia)熱(re)電(dian)纜系(xi)(xi)統(tong)。

電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)采(cai)(cai)暖相(xiang)比燃煤(mei)采(cai)(cai)暖優勢比較明顯。當前，國內電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)供(gong)需矛盾將日趨緩和(he)，2006年中國電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)供(gong)需基本(ben)平衡。從2007年開始，一(yi)部(bu)分煤(mei)炭產地(di)為降低煤(mei)炭運(yun)輸成本(ben)，大力(li)(li)發(fa)展火(huo)力(li)(li)發(fa)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)，變煤(mei)炭運(yun)輸為電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)輸送，并(bing)且(qie)國家正在大力(li)(li)發(fa)展風力(li)(li)發(fa)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)、太陽能(neng)發(fa)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)、水力(li)(li)發(fa)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)、核電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)等，電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)已出現(xian)冬季(ji)過(guo)剩現(xian)象，這就為電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)采(cai)(cai)暖提供(gong)了足夠空間。

據相關統計數字表(biao)明(ming)，我國地面輻射采(cai)(cai)暖(nuan)(nuan)(nuan)市(shi)場在2010年底已達千億元，其中技術(shu)成(cheng)熟的(de)低溫熱水輻射采(cai)(cai)暖(nuan)(nuan)(nuan)和散熱片采(cai)(cai)暖(nuan)(nuan)(nuan)占(zhan)據70%以(yi)上(shang)的(de)市(shi)場份額。電采(cai)(cai)暖(nuan)(nuan)(nuan)雖處于起步階段(duan)，但也占(zhan)據了25%左(zuo)右的(de)市(shi)場份額，并且(qie)保持持續上(shang)升(sheng)的(de)趨勢。

如今，全國各(ge)地針對電采(cai)(cai)暖(nuan)紛(fen)紛(fen)出(chu)臺優(you)惠政策，這從側面展(zhan)(zhan)現出(chu)了(le)電采(cai)(cai)暖(nuan)的(de)(de)(de)巨大(da)潛力，也(ye)為(wei)碳纖(xian)維發熱電纜的(de)(de)(de)發展(zhan)(zhan)提供(gong)了(le)無(wu)限(xian)的(de)(de)(de)可能性(xing)。就(jiu)目前各(ge)個集中供(gong)暖(nuan)區域推出(chu)的(de)(de)(de)供(gong)暖(nuan)政策來(lai)看，煤炭(tan)供(gong)熱的(de)(de)(de)時(shi)代正在(zai)成為(wei)歷史(shi)。而新型的(de)(de)(de)環保(bao)節能的(de)(de)(de)采(cai)(cai)暖(nuan)方式正在(zai)占領(ling)市場(chang)，其中電采(cai)(cai)暖(nuan)以其成熟的(de)(de)(de)行(xing)業體系(xi)和卓越的(de)(de)(de)供(gong)暖(nuan)效果正在(zai)不斷受到重視(shi)。這為(wei)正處于產能過(guo)剩的(de)(de)(de)電纜產業開(kai)辟了(le)一(yi)個新的(de)(de)(de)市場(chang)。