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日前，國網天(tian)津(jin)市電(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)公(gong)司提出(chu)的“以電(dian)(dian)(dian)供熱”試點規劃(hua)，被(bei)寫(xie)入天(tian)津(jin)市政(zheng)(zheng)府(fu)工作(zuo)報告(gao)，預示(shi)著天(tian)津(jin)市加熱電(dian)(dian)(dian)纜的需求量將不斷提高(gao)。“推廣電(dian)(dian)(dian)能替代工程，啟(qi)動(dong)以電(dian)(dian)(dian)供熱試點”被(bei)寫(xie)入天(tian)津(jin)市政(zheng)(zheng)府(fu)工作(zuo)報告(gao)，這標志(zhi)著天(tian)津(jin)電(dian)(dian)(dian)能替代工作(zuo)已進入政(zheng)(zheng)府(fu)主(zhu)導、系統推進的新階(jie)段。

當(dang)前(qian)電能(neng)(neng)替(ti)(ti)代技術成(cheng)熟，經濟優勢明(ming)顯，清(qing)潔環保已成(cheng)為政府(fu)和廣大(da)用戶的共識。一(yi)直以(yi)來，北方地(di)區冬(dong)季供熱(re)取(qu)暖主要是(shi)采(cai)用燃(ran)(ran)煤(mei)鍋爐，造成(cheng)嚴(yan)重大(da)氣污染。如果采(cai)取(qu)電能(neng)(neng)替(ti)(ti)代，以(yi)電能(neng)(neng)或太陽能(neng)(neng)代替(ti)(ti)燃(ran)(ran)煤(mei)蒸(zheng)汽供熱(re)，不但供熱(re)成(cheng)本大(da)幅度降低，而且不會造成(cheng)環境污染。

在有些專家(jia)(jia)看(kan)來，電(dian)(dian)(dian)能作為清潔能源的優勢凸顯，替(ti)代潛力巨大。4月2日，國家(jia)(jia)電(dian)(dian)(dian)網公(gong)司召開了(le)2015年電(dian)(dian)(dian)能替(ti)代工(gong)作推進會，發(fa)布(bu)了(le)《國家(jia)(jia)電(dian)(dian)(dian)網公(gong)司2015年全面深(shen)入(ru)推進電(dian)(dian)(dian)能替(ti)代行(xing)動計劃》，提出了(le)確保全年完成650億(yi)千瓦(wa)時、力爭(zheng)實(shi)現750億(yi)千瓦(wa)時替(ti)代電(dian)(dian)(dian)量。

據了(le)解，今(jin)年國家電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)網公司將著力鞏(gong)固(gu)擴大電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)窯爐(lu)(lu)、電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)鍋爐(lu)(lu)、熱(re)泵等(deng)成熟項目的實(shi)施范(fan)圍，因地(di)制宜拓展新(xin)(xin)領域、推(tui)(tui)廣(guang)(guang)新(xin)(xin)技術，除在港口地(di)區(qu)推(tui)(tui)廣(guang)(guang)岸電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)替代(通(tong)過(guo)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)纜將船(chuan)舶(bo)用(yong)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)與岸上電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)源(yuan)連(lian)接，在船(chuan)舶(bo)靠岸期間(jian)采用(yong)陸(lu)地(di)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)源(yuan)供電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian))外，還(huan)將對居民區(qu)、學校(xiao)等(deng)用(yong)戶推(tui)(tui)廣(guang)(guang)碳(tan)晶、電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)熱(re)膜、發熱(re)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)纜等(deng)技術，在企(qi)事業單(dan)位食堂推(tui)(tui)廣(guang)(guang)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)磁(ci)灶、電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)蒸鍋，在油田推(tui)(tui)廣(guang)(guang)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)動鉆(zhan)機(ji)，在油氣輸送管線推(tui)(tui)廣(guang)(guang)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力加壓等(deng)。

從消(xiao)費(fei)端來看，各地主要(yao)通過以(yi)電(dian)(dian)(dian)代(dai)煤、以(yi)電(dian)(dian)(dian)代(dai)油來促進(jin)節能減排。北(bei)京市城六(liu)區基本取消(xiao)燃煤鍋(guo)爐，農村地區新增減煤換煤120萬噸。河(he)北(bei)省提出大幅壓(ya)減煤炭用量，實施煤電(dian)(dian)(dian)節能減排升(sheng)級改造行(xing)(xing)動(dong)計劃。在(zai)歐(ou)美發達國(guo)家，電(dian)(dian)(dian)采(cai)暖普(pu)及率非常高，美國(guo)80%的城市實行(xing)(xing)電(dian)(dian)(dian)采(cai)暖，加拿大、德國(guo)、法國(guo)等電(dian)(dian)(dian)采(cai)暖比例均(jun)在(zai)50%以(yi)上(shang)。

有專家分析認為(wei)，國(guo)內(nei)(nei)大(da)力開展電(dian)能(neng)替代，能(neng)有效緩解(jie)電(dian)纜產(chan)業(ye)產(chan)能(neng)過(guo)(guo)剩(sheng)帶(dai)來的巨大(da)壓力。國(guo)內(nei)(nei)電(dian)線電(dian)纜行(xing)業(ye)產(chan)能(neng)過(guo)(guo)剩(sheng)以及設備過(guo)(guo)剩(sheng)是不(bu)(bu)爭的事實(shi)，產(chan)能(neng)過(guo)(guo)剩(sheng)意(yi)味著供大(da)于(yu)求，意(yi)味著惡性競(jing)爭;而設備過(guo)(guo)剩(sheng)又反(fan)映(ying)出開工率不(bu)(bu)足。事實(shi)上(shang)，僅(jin)次(ci)于(yu)汽車制造業(ye)的第(di)(di)二大(da)產(chan)業(ye)電(dian)線電(dian)纜行(xing)業(ye)在(zai)贏得“全(quan)球第(di)(di)一(yi)”之(zhi)(zhi)后，卻因蜂(feng)擁而上(shang)深陷“紅海(hai)”的產(chan)能(neng)嚴重過(guo)(guo)剩(sheng)之(zhi)(zhi)中。不(bu)(bu)足四成的產(chan)能(neng)開工率還不(bu)(bu)到歐美同期一(yi)半(ban)，連(lian)續萎靡的虧損包袱(fu)成為(wei)不(bu)(bu)少上(shang)市公(gong)司不(bu)(bu)能(neng)承受之(zhi)(zhi)重，欲剝離減負。

近來(lai)研發成功(gong)的(de)碳纖維加(jia)熱(re)(re)(re)(re)電(dian)纜，將(jiang)加(jia)熱(re)(re)(re)(re)電(dian)纜系(xi)統的(de)應用推(tui)向(xiang)了技(ji)術(shu)創新階段。推(tui)行“以電(dian)供(gong)熱(re)(re)(re)(re)”的(de)應用，廣泛涉及(ji)千家萬戶。例如在住(zhu)宅內(nei)部，可實(shi)現(xian)墻壁(bi)、地(di)板、空間加(jia)熱(re)(re)(re)(re)。其中，僅墻壁(bi)和地(di)板加(jia)熱(re)(re)(re)(re)系(xi)統，就(jiu)需要(yao)大量加(jia)熱(re)(re)(re)(re)電(dian)纜。此外(wai)，根據(ju)外(wai)國經驗，道路和機場融雪加(jia)熱(re)(re)(re)(re)，也普遍首選加(jia)熱(re)(re)(re)(re)電(dian)纜系(xi)統。

電(dian)(dian)(dian)采暖相比(bi)燃(ran)煤(mei)采暖優勢比(bi)較明顯。當前，國(guo)內(nei)電(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)供(gong)需矛盾將日趨緩(huan)和(he)，2006年中國(guo)電(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)供(gong)需基本(ben)平(ping)衡(heng)。從2007年開始，一部(bu)分煤(mei)炭(tan)產地(di)為(wei)降低煤(mei)炭(tan)運輸(shu)成本(ben)，大力(li)發(fa)展火力(li)發(fa)電(dian)(dian)(dian)，變煤(mei)炭(tan)運輸(shu)為(wei)電(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)輸(shu)送，并且國(guo)家正在大力(li)發(fa)展風力(li)發(fa)電(dian)(dian)(dian)、太陽能發(fa)電(dian)(dian)(dian)、水力(li)發(fa)電(dian)(dian)(dian)、核電(dian)(dian)(dian)等，電(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)已出現冬季過剩現象，這就為(wei)電(dian)(dian)(dian)采暖提供(gong)了足夠(gou)空間。

據相關統計數字(zi)表明，我國地面輻(fu)射采(cai)(cai)暖(nuan)市場(chang)在2010年底已達千億元，其(qi)中技術成熟(shu)的低溫熱水(shui)輻(fu)射采(cai)(cai)暖(nuan)和散熱片采(cai)(cai)暖(nuan)占據70%以上(shang)的市場(chang)份額。電(dian)采(cai)(cai)暖(nuan)雖處于起(qi)步階段(duan)，但也占據了(le)25%左右(you)的市場(chang)份額，并且保(bao)持持續上(shang)升的趨勢。

如今，全國(guo)各地針(zhen)對電采(cai)暖(nuan)紛(fen)紛(fen)出(chu)(chu)臺優惠(hui)政(zheng)策，這從(cong)側(ce)面(mian)展現出(chu)(chu)了(le)電采(cai)暖(nuan)的(de)(de)巨大潛力，也為碳纖維發熱(re)電纜的(de)(de)發展提供了(le)無限的(de)(de)可能性。就目前(qian)各個(ge)集中供暖(nuan)區域(yu)推出(chu)(chu)的(de)(de)供暖(nuan)政(zheng)策來看，煤(mei)炭供熱(re)的(de)(de)時代正(zheng)在成為歷史。而新(xin)型的(de)(de)環保節能的(de)(de)采(cai)暖(nuan)方式正(zheng)在占領(ling)市(shi)場，其(qi)中電采(cai)暖(nuan)以其(qi)成熟的(de)(de)行業(ye)體(ti)系和卓越的(de)(de)供暖(nuan)效果(guo)正(zheng)在不斷受(shou)到重視。這為正(zheng)處(chu)于(yu)產(chan)能過(guo)剩的(de)(de)電纜產(chan)業(ye)開辟了(le)一(yi)個(ge)新(xin)的(de)(de)市(shi)場。