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日前，國網天(tian)津(jin)(jin)市電(dian)力公司提(ti)出的“以電(dian)供(gong)熱”試(shi)點規劃(hua)，被寫入天(tian)津(jin)(jin)市政府(fu)工(gong)作(zuo)報告，預示著天(tian)津(jin)(jin)市加(jia)熱電(dian)纜的需求量將不斷提(ti)高。“推廣電(dian)能替代(dai)工(gong)程，啟動以電(dian)供(gong)熱試(shi)點”被寫入天(tian)津(jin)(jin)市政府(fu)工(gong)作(zuo)報告，這(zhe)標(biao)志著天(tian)津(jin)(jin)電(dian)能替代(dai)工(gong)作(zuo)已進入政府(fu)主導、系(xi)統(tong)推進的新階段。

當前電能(neng)替(ti)代(dai)技(ji)術成熟，經濟優勢明顯(xian)，清潔(jie)環保已成為政府(fu)和廣大用(yong)戶的共識。一直以(yi)來，北方地區冬季供(gong)熱(re)取(qu)暖主要是(shi)采用(yong)燃煤鍋爐，造成嚴重大氣(qi)污染(ran)。如果采取(qu)電能(neng)替(ti)代(dai)，以(yi)電能(neng)或太陽能(neng)代(dai)替(ti)燃煤蒸汽供(gong)熱(re)，不但供(gong)熱(re)成本大幅(fu)度(du)降低，而且不會造成環境污染(ran)。

在有些專家(jia)看來，電(dian)能作為清潔能源的優勢凸顯，替(ti)代潛力(li)巨(ju)大(da)。4月2日，國家(jia)電(dian)網公司召開了(le)(le)2015年(nian)(nian)電(dian)能替(ti)代工作推(tui)進會，發布了(le)(le)《國家(jia)電(dian)網公司2015年(nian)(nian)全面深入(ru)推(tui)進電(dian)能替(ti)代行動計(ji)劃》，提(ti)出了(le)(le)確保全年(nian)(nian)完(wan)成650億(yi)千(qian)瓦時、力(li)爭實(shi)現750億(yi)千(qian)瓦時替(ti)代電(dian)量。

據了(le)解(jie)，今年國家電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)網(wang)公司(si)將著力鞏(gong)固(gu)擴(kuo)大電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)窯爐、電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)鍋(guo)爐、熱(re)(re)泵等成熟項目的實(shi)施(shi)范圍，因地制宜拓展新領域(yu)、推(tui)(tui)廣新技(ji)術，除在(zai)港口地區(qu)推(tui)(tui)廣岸(an)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)替代(通過電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)纜(lan)將船舶(bo)用(yong)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)與岸(an)上電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)源(yuan)連接，在(zai)船舶(bo)靠(kao)岸(an)期(qi)間采用(yong)陸(lu)地電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)源(yuan)供電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian))外，還(huan)將對(dui)居民(min)區(qu)、學校等用(yong)戶推(tui)(tui)廣碳晶(jing)、電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)熱(re)(re)膜、發熱(re)(re)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)纜(lan)等技(ji)術，在(zai)企事業單位食堂推(tui)(tui)廣電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)磁灶、電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)蒸(zheng)鍋(guo)，在(zai)油田推(tui)(tui)廣電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)動(dong)鉆機(ji)，在(zai)油氣輸送管線推(tui)(tui)廣電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力加壓等。

從消費端(duan)來(lai)看，各(ge)地主(zhu)要通過以(yi)電(dian)代(dai)煤、以(yi)電(dian)代(dai)油(you)來(lai)促進節能減(jian)排。北京(jing)市(shi)城六(liu)區基本取消燃煤鍋爐，農村地區新增減(jian)煤換煤120萬噸。河(he)北省提出大(da)(da)幅壓減(jian)煤炭用(yong)量，實(shi)施煤電(dian)節能減(jian)排升級改造(zao)行動計劃。在(zai)歐美(mei)發達國家，電(dian)采暖(nuan)普及率非常高，美(mei)國80%的城市(shi)實(shi)行電(dian)采暖(nuan)，加拿大(da)(da)、德國、法國等電(dian)采暖(nuan)比例均在(zai)50%以(yi)上。

有(you)(you)專家分析(xi)認為，國內大(da)力開展電(dian)能(neng)替代，能(neng)有(you)(you)效(xiao)緩(huan)解電(dian)纜(lan)產業(ye)產能(neng)過(guo)剩(sheng)帶來的(de)(de)巨大(da)壓力。國內電(dian)線(xian)電(dian)纜(lan)行業(ye)產能(neng)過(guo)剩(sheng)以及設備過(guo)剩(sheng)是(shi)不(bu)(bu)爭(zheng)(zheng)的(de)(de)事(shi)實(shi)，產能(neng)過(guo)剩(sheng)意味(wei)著供大(da)于求，意味(wei)著惡性競爭(zheng)(zheng);而設備過(guo)剩(sheng)又反映出開工(gong)率不(bu)(bu)足。事(shi)實(shi)上(shang)，僅次(ci)于汽車制造業(ye)的(de)(de)第二大(da)產業(ye)電(dian)線(xian)電(dian)纜(lan)行業(ye)在贏得“全球第一”之(zhi)后，卻因蜂擁而上(shang)深陷“紅海”的(de)(de)產能(neng)嚴(yan)重過(guo)剩(sheng)之(zhi)中(zhong)。不(bu)(bu)足四(si)成的(de)(de)產能(neng)開工(gong)率還不(bu)(bu)到歐美同(tong)期一半，連(lian)續萎靡(mi)的(de)(de)虧損包袱(fu)成為不(bu)(bu)少上(shang)市(shi)公(gong)司不(bu)(bu)能(neng)承(cheng)受之(zhi)重，欲剝(bo)離減負。

近來(lai)研(yan)發(fa)成功的碳纖維(wei)加(jia)熱(re)(re)電(dian)(dian)纜，將加(jia)熱(re)(re)電(dian)(dian)纜系(xi)(xi)統(tong)的應用(yong)推(tui)向了技(ji)術創新階段。推(tui)行(xing)“以電(dian)(dian)供熱(re)(re)”的應用(yong)，廣泛(fan)涉及千家萬戶。例如在住宅內(nei)部，可實現墻壁(bi)、地板(ban)(ban)、空間加(jia)熱(re)(re)。其中，僅墻壁(bi)和地板(ban)(ban)加(jia)熱(re)(re)系(xi)(xi)統(tong)，就需(xu)要大量加(jia)熱(re)(re)電(dian)(dian)纜。此外，根(gen)據外國經驗，道路和機場融雪加(jia)熱(re)(re)，也普遍首選加(jia)熱(re)(re)電(dian)(dian)纜系(xi)(xi)統(tong)。

電(dian)(dian)采(cai)暖相比(bi)燃煤采(cai)暖優(you)勢比(bi)較明顯。當前，國內電(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)(li)供(gong)需矛盾將(jiang)日趨緩(huan)和，2006年(nian)中國電(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)(li)供(gong)需基本平衡。從(cong)2007年(nian)開始，一部分煤炭(tan)產地為(wei)降低煤炭(tan)運輸(shu)(shu)(shu)成本，大力(li)(li)(li)發(fa)展火力(li)(li)(li)發(fa)電(dian)(dian)，變煤炭(tan)運輸(shu)(shu)(shu)為(wei)電(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)(li)輸(shu)(shu)(shu)送，并且國家正在(zai)大力(li)(li)(li)發(fa)展風力(li)(li)(li)發(fa)電(dian)(dian)、太陽能發(fa)電(dian)(dian)、水力(li)(li)(li)發(fa)電(dian)(dian)、核電(dian)(dian)等，電(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)(li)已(yi)出現冬季過剩(sheng)現象，這就為(wei)電(dian)(dian)采(cai)暖提供(gong)了足夠空(kong)間。

據(ju)相關(guan)統計數字表(biao)明，我國地面輻射采(cai)暖市(shi)場(chang)在(zai)2010年底已達千億元，其中技術(shu)成熟的低溫熱(re)水輻射采(cai)暖和散熱(re)片采(cai)暖占(zhan)據(ju)70%以(yi)上的市(shi)場(chang)份(fen)額(e)。電采(cai)暖雖處于起步階段，但也占(zhan)據(ju)了25%左右的市(shi)場(chang)份(fen)額(e)，并(bing)且保持(chi)持(chi)續上升的趨勢。

如今，全(quan)國各地針(zhen)對(dui)電采暖紛紛出(chu)臺優惠政策，這(zhe)(zhe)從側面展(zhan)(zhan)現出(chu)了電采暖的(de)巨大潛(qian)力，也為(wei)碳纖維發熱(re)電纜的(de)發展(zhan)(zhan)提(ti)供(gong)了無限的(de)可能(neng)性。就目前各個(ge)集中(zhong)供(gong)暖區(qu)域推出(chu)的(de)供(gong)暖政策來看，煤炭供(gong)熱(re)的(de)時代正(zheng)在成(cheng)為(wei)歷史。而新(xin)型的(de)環(huan)保節能(neng)的(de)采暖方式正(zheng)在占領市場，其中(zhong)電采暖以(yi)其成(cheng)熟的(de)行業體系和卓越的(de)供(gong)暖效果正(zheng)在不(bu)斷受到(dao)重視。這(zhe)(zhe)為(wei)正(zheng)處(chu)于產能(neng)過剩(sheng)的(de)電纜產業開辟了一個(ge)新(xin)的(de)市場。