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日(ri)前，國網(wang)天(tian)(tian)津(jin)市電(dian)力公司提出的(de)“以電(dian)供熱”試(shi)點規劃(hua)，被寫入(ru)天(tian)(tian)津(jin)市政(zheng)府工作報告，預示著天(tian)(tian)津(jin)市加熱電(dian)纜的(de)需求量(liang)將不斷提高。“推廣電(dian)能替代工程，啟動以電(dian)供熱試(shi)點”被寫入(ru)天(tian)(tian)津(jin)市政(zheng)府工作報告，這標(biao)志著天(tian)(tian)津(jin)電(dian)能替代工作已進入(ru)政(zheng)府主導、系統推進的(de)新階段。

當前電(dian)能(neng)替代技術(shu)成(cheng)熟(shu)，經濟優(you)勢明顯，清(qing)潔(jie)環保(bao)已(yi)成(cheng)為(wei)政府和廣大用(yong)戶(hu)的共識。一直以來，北方地區冬季供(gong)熱取(qu)暖主要是采用(yong)燃(ran)煤鍋爐，造(zao)成(cheng)嚴(yan)重(zhong)大氣污染。如果采取(qu)電(dian)能(neng)替代，以電(dian)能(neng)或太陽能(neng)代替燃(ran)煤蒸汽供(gong)熱，不(bu)但供(gong)熱成(cheng)本大幅度降低(di)，而(er)且(qie)不(bu)會造(zao)成(cheng)環境污染。

在有些專(zhuan)家(jia)(jia)看來，電(dian)能(neng)(neng)作為清潔能(neng)(neng)源的優勢凸顯，替代潛力(li)巨大。4月2日，國家(jia)(jia)電(dian)網公(gong)司(si)召開(kai)了(le)(le)2015年電(dian)能(neng)(neng)替代工作推進(jin)會，發布(bu)了(le)(le)《國家(jia)(jia)電(dian)網公(gong)司(si)2015年全(quan)面深入推進(jin)電(dian)能(neng)(neng)替代行動計劃》，提出(chu)了(le)(le)確保全(quan)年完成650億(yi)千瓦時、力(li)爭實現750億(yi)千瓦時替代電(dian)量。

據了解(jie)，今年(nian)國家電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)網公司將著力鞏(gong)固擴大(da)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)窯爐、電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)鍋爐、熱泵等成熟項(xiang)目的(de)實施范圍，因(yin)地(di)制宜拓展新領域、推(tui)(tui)廣(guang)新技(ji)術，除在港口(kou)地(di)區(qu)推(tui)(tui)廣(guang)岸電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)替代(通過電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)纜(lan)將船舶(bo)用電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)與岸上電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)源連(lian)接，在船舶(bo)靠岸期間采用陸(lu)地(di)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)源供電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian))外，還(huan)將對居民區(qu)、學校(xiao)等用戶推(tui)(tui)廣(guang)碳晶、電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)熱膜、發熱電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)纜(lan)等技(ji)術，在企事業單位食堂(tang)推(tui)(tui)廣(guang)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)磁灶、電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)蒸鍋，在油田推(tui)(tui)廣(guang)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)動鉆機(ji)，在油氣輸送管線推(tui)(tui)廣(guang)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力加壓等。

從消費端來看，各(ge)地主要通過以電(dian)代煤(mei)、以電(dian)代油來促進節(jie)能減排(pai)。北京市城(cheng)六區基本取消燃(ran)煤(mei)鍋爐，農(nong)村地區新增減煤(mei)換煤(mei)120萬噸。河北省提出大(da)幅壓(ya)減煤(mei)炭用量(liang)，實(shi)(shi)施(shi)煤(mei)電(dian)節(jie)能減排(pai)升級改造行動(dong)計劃。在歐美發達國(guo)家，電(dian)采(cai)暖普(pu)及率(lv)非(fei)常(chang)高，美國(guo)80%的(de)城(cheng)市實(shi)(shi)行電(dian)采(cai)暖，加(jia)拿大(da)、德國(guo)、法國(guo)等電(dian)采(cai)暖比例(li)均在50%以上。

有(you)專家分析認(ren)為，國(guo)內大力開(kai)展電能(neng)(neng)替(ti)代，能(neng)(neng)有(you)效緩解電纜產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)業產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)能(neng)(neng)過剩帶來的(de)巨大壓力。國(guo)內電線(xian)電纜行(xing)業產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)能(neng)(neng)過剩以(yi)及設備過剩是不(bu)爭的(de)事實(shi)，產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)能(neng)(neng)過剩意味(wei)著供大于求，意味(wei)著惡性競爭;而(er)設備過剩又反映出(chu)開(kai)工率不(bu)足。事實(shi)上，僅(jin)次于汽車制(zhi)造業的(de)第二(er)大產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)業電線(xian)電纜行(xing)業在贏得“全球第一”之(zhi)后(hou)，卻因蜂(feng)擁(yong)而(er)上深陷“紅海”的(de)產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)能(neng)(neng)嚴重(zhong)過剩之(zhi)中。不(bu)足四成(cheng)的(de)產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)能(neng)(neng)開(kai)工率還不(bu)到(dao)歐(ou)美(mei)同期(qi)一半(ban)，連續萎(wei)靡的(de)虧損(sun)包袱成(cheng)為不(bu)少上市公司(si)不(bu)能(neng)(neng)承受之(zhi)重(zhong)，欲剝離減負。

近來研(yan)發成功的碳纖維加(jia)(jia)熱(re)(re)電(dian)纜(lan)，將加(jia)(jia)熱(re)(re)電(dian)纜(lan)系統的應用推(tui)向了技(ji)術創(chuang)新階段(duan)。推(tui)行“以電(dian)供(gong)熱(re)(re)”的應用，廣泛涉(she)及千家(jia)萬戶。例如在住宅(zhai)內部，可實現墻(qiang)壁、地板、空間加(jia)(jia)熱(re)(re)。其中，僅墻(qiang)壁和地板加(jia)(jia)熱(re)(re)系統，就(jiu)需(xu)要大量加(jia)(jia)熱(re)(re)電(dian)纜(lan)。此(ci)外，根據外國(guo)經驗，道路和機場(chang)融雪(xue)加(jia)(jia)熱(re)(re)，也普(pu)遍首選(xuan)加(jia)(jia)熱(re)(re)電(dian)纜(lan)系統。

電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)采暖(nuan)相比燃煤采暖(nuan)優勢比較(jiao)明顯。當(dang)前，國(guo)內電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)供需矛盾將(jiang)日趨緩和，2006年(nian)(nian)中國(guo)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)供需基本平衡。從2007年(nian)(nian)開(kai)始(shi)，一部(bu)分煤炭產地(di)為(wei)降低煤炭運(yun)輸(shu)成本，大力(li)發(fa)展火力(li)發(fa)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)，變煤炭運(yun)輸(shu)為(wei)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)輸(shu)送，并且國(guo)家正(zheng)在大力(li)發(fa)展風力(li)發(fa)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)、太(tai)陽能(neng)發(fa)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)、水力(li)發(fa)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)、核電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)等(deng)，電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)已(yi)出(chu)現冬季過剩現象，這就為(wei)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)采暖(nuan)提供了足夠空間(jian)。

據相(xiang)關(guan)統計數字(zi)表明，我(wo)國地面(mian)輻射采(cai)暖(nuan)(nuan)市(shi)場在2010年底(di)已(yi)達(da)千億元，其中技術成熟的低(di)溫熱(re)水輻射采(cai)暖(nuan)(nuan)和散(san)熱(re)片(pian)采(cai)暖(nuan)(nuan)占據70%以上的市(shi)場份額。電(dian)采(cai)暖(nuan)(nuan)雖處于起步階段，但也(ye)占據了25%左(zuo)右(you)的市(shi)場份額，并(bing)且保持持續上升的趨勢(shi)。

如今，全(quan)國各地針對(dui)電(dian)(dian)采(cai)暖(nuan)(nuan)(nuan)紛紛出臺優(you)惠政(zheng)策，這從(cong)側面展現出了(le)電(dian)(dian)采(cai)暖(nuan)(nuan)(nuan)的(de)(de)(de)(de)巨大潛力(li)，也為碳纖維發熱(re)電(dian)(dian)纜(lan)的(de)(de)(de)(de)發展提供(gong)了(le)無限的(de)(de)(de)(de)可能性。就目前各個集中供(gong)暖(nuan)(nuan)(nuan)區域(yu)推出的(de)(de)(de)(de)供(gong)暖(nuan)(nuan)(nuan)政(zheng)策來看，煤(mei)炭供(gong)熱(re)的(de)(de)(de)(de)時(shi)代正(zheng)在(zai)成為歷史。而新型的(de)(de)(de)(de)環保節(jie)能的(de)(de)(de)(de)采(cai)暖(nuan)(nuan)(nuan)方式正(zheng)在(zai)占領市(shi)場，其(qi)中電(dian)(dian)采(cai)暖(nuan)(nuan)(nuan)以其(qi)成熟的(de)(de)(de)(de)行業體系(xi)和卓越(yue)的(de)(de)(de)(de)供(gong)暖(nuan)(nuan)(nuan)效果(guo)正(zheng)在(zai)不(bu)斷受到重視。這為正(zheng)處于產(chan)能過剩的(de)(de)(de)(de)電(dian)(dian)纜(lan)產(chan)業開辟了(le)一個新的(de)(de)(de)(de)市(shi)場。